IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/kondp1/75.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Theorie und Empirik politischer Konjunkturzyklen

Author

Listed:
  • Frey, Bruno S.

Abstract

Empirische Beobachtungen zeigen, daß der Staat die wirtschaftliche Aktivität oft nicht stabilisiert, sondern im Gegenteil zusätzliche Schwankungen erzeugt. Politische Konjunkturzyklen entstehen insbesondere beim Versuch der Regierungen, zum Wahlzeitpunkt eine günstige Wirtschaftslage herbeizuführen, um wiedergewählt zu werden. Die bisherigen statistischen Untersuchungen für verschiedene Länder sind wegen, eines fehlenden sorgfältig spezifizierten Modells unzureichend. Verschiedene theoretische Ansätze bieten sich an. Umfassend lassen sich Wahlzyklen im Rahmen politischökonomischer Gesamtmodelle untersuchen. Damit durchgeführte ökonometrische Schätzungen für die Vereinigten Staaten und die Bundesrepublik Deutschland weisen auf die Bedeutung Politischer Konjunkturzyklen in den Nachkriegsjahren hin.

Suggested Citation

  • Frey, Bruno S., 1976. "Theorie und Empirik politischer Konjunkturzyklen," Discussion Papers, Series I 75, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:kondp1:75
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/68843/1/71789410X.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giuseppe C. Ruggeri, 1973. "Automatic Stabilizers, Business Cycles, And Economic Growth," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 288-306, January.
    2. Yoram Ben‐Porath, 1975. "The Years Of Plenty And The Years Of Famine—A Political Business Cycle?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 400-403, January.
    3. Thor Hultgren, 1965. "Cost, Prices, and Profits: Their Cyclical Relations," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number hult65-1.
    4. Frey, Bruno S. & Schneider, Friedrich, 1976. "An empirical study of politico-economic interaction in the US," Discussion Papers, Series I 76, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    5. Bajt, Alexander, 1971. "Investment Cycles in European Socialist Economies: A Review Article," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 53-63, March.
    6. Assar Lindbeck, 1970. "Fiscal Policy As A Tool Of Economic Stabilization—Comments To An Oecd Report," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 7-32, February.
    7. Snyder, Wayne W, 1970. "Measuring Economic Stabilization: 1955-65," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 60(5), pages 924-933, December.
    8. Llewellyn, G E J & Tarling, Roger J, 1974. "Cycles, Lags, and Causality," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(23), pages 287-292, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Florian Brugger & Jörn Kleinert, 2019. "The strong increase of Austrian government debt in the Kreisky era: Austro-Keynesianism or just stubborn forecast errors?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 229-248, May.
    2. Levoshko, Tamila, 2016. "Wie beeinflussen die politische Lage und FDI das Wirtschaftswachstum? Empirische Evidenz für die Ukraine und Polen," Working Papers 0615, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    3. Deissenberg, Christophe & Stöppler, Siegmar, 1976. "Quantitative Bestimmung und dynamische Bewertung optimaler wirtschaftspolitischer Entscheidungen," Discussion Papers, Series I 85, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    4. Levoshko, Tamila, 2017. ""Pork-Barrel"-Politik und das regionale Wirtschaftswachstum. Empirische Evidenz für die Ukraine und Polen," Working Papers 0642, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pommerehne, Werner W., 1976. "Quantitative aspects of federalism: A study of six countries," Discussion Papers, Series I 74, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    2. Stein, Ernesto H. & Streb, Jorge M., 2004. "Elections and the timing of devaluations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 119-145, May.
    3. Riefers, Rudolf, 1969. "Kurzfristige Beschäftigungsfunktionen : ein Literaturüberblick," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 2(9), pages 698-712.
    4. J. Barkley Rosser & Marina Vchershnaya Rosser, 1997. "Schumpeterian Evolutionary Dynamics and the Collapse of Soviet-Bloc Socialism," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 211-223.
    5. Jong-seok Oh, 2018. "Changes in cyclical patterns of the USA labor market: from the perspective of nonlinear Okun’s law," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 237-258, March.
    6. Eric Dubois, 2016. "Political Business Cycles 40 Years after Nordhaus," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01291401, HAL.
    7. Raford Boddy & James Crotty, 1975. "Class Conflict and Macro-Policy: The Political Business Cycle," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, April.
    8. Frey, Bruno S., 1978. "Politico-economic models and cycles," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 203-220, April.
    9. Stein, Ernesto H. & Streb, Jorge M., 2004. "Elections and the timing of devaluations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 119-145, May.
    10. Martin Paldam, 1981. "An essay on the rationality of economic policy: The test-case of the electional cycle," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 287-305, January.
    11. Fuest, Clemens & Gründler, Klaus & Potrafke, Niklas & Ruthardt, Fabian, 2024. "Read my lips? Taxes and elections," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    12. Brender, Adi & Drazen, Allan, 2005. "Political budget cycles in new versus established democracies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(7), pages 1271-1295, October.
    13. Frey, Bruno S., 1974. "On the political economy of public services: International Economic Association Conference on the Economics of Public Services (April 1 - 6, 1974 in Turin, Italy)," Discussion Papers, Series I 46, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    14. Alberto Alesina & Matteo Paradisi, 2017. "Political budget cycles: Evidence from Italian cities," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 157-177, July.
    15. Hans Gersbach, 2004. "Competition of Politicians for Incentive Contracts and Elections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 121(1), pages 157-177, October.
    16. Irina Yakovenko, 2020. "Fuzzy Stochastic Automation Model for Decision Support in the Process Inter-Budgetary Regulation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, December.
    17. Eric Dubois, 2016. "Political business cycles 40 years after Nordhaus," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 235-259, January.
    18. Bichler, Shimshon, 1994. "Political Power Shifts in Israel, 1977 and 1992: Unsuccessful Electoral Economics or Long Range Realignment?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 58(4), pages 415-439.
    19. Alvin C. Egbert, 1968. "Changing Factor Shares by Industry: Factor Prices and Factor Substitutions," NBER Chapters, in: The Industrial Composition of Income and Product, pages 185-221, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. van der Eng, Pierre, 1992. "Measuring fiscal stance for the United Kingdom, 1920-1990," MPRA Paper 38284, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Jul 2012.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:kondp1:75. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fwkonde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.