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Frankenstärke und Importpreisreagibilität: Kurz-, mittel- und langfristige Effekte

Author

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  • Kellermann, Kersten
  • Schlag, Carsten-Henning

Abstract

Seit Ausbruch der Finanzkrise im Herbst 2007 ist der Wert des Franken handelsgewichtet in nominaler Rechnung um ein Drittel gestiegen. Dennoch bleiben im Frankenraum die Importpreise in heimischer Währung relativ konstant. Im Rahmen der vorliegenden Untersuchung werden für den Zeitraum 1974 bis 2011 kurz-, mittel und langfristige Wechselkurselastizitäten der Preise importierter Güter in Liechtenstein und der Schweiz geschätzt. Unterschieden werden Übertragungseffekte (Exchange Rate Pass-Through) in Bezug auf Importpreise, Konsumentenpreise für importierte Güter sowie den gesamten Konsumgüterpreisindex. Die Preisindizes reagieren über den gesamten Untersuchungszeitraum kurzfristig nur geringfügig auf Wechselkursschwankungen. Seit 2007 nimmt die kurzfristige Preisreagibilität sogar noch ab. In der mittleren und langen Frist werden höhere Wechselkurselastizitäten beobachtet. Asymptotisch konvergieren die Elastizitäten gegen -1. Die Untersuchungsergebnisse erlauben auch Rückschlüsse, wo in der Vertriebskette zwischen dem ausländischen Produzenten und den Konsumenten im Frankenraum die Währungsvorteile absorbiert werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Kellermann, Kersten & Schlag, Carsten-Henning, 2011. "Frankenstärke und Importpreisreagibilität: Kurz-, mittel- und langfristige Effekte," KOFL Working Papers 10, Konjunkturforschungsstelle Liechtenstein (KOFL), Vaduz.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:koflwp:10
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Importpreisindex; Mittelwertindex; Landesindex der Konsumentenpreise; Aussenwert des Franken; Exchange Rate Pass-Through; Schweiz; Liechtenstein;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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