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Bubbles and crowding-in of capital via a savings glut

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  • Hillebrand, Marten
  • Kikuchi, Tomoo
  • Sakuragawa, Masaya

Abstract

This paper uncovers a novel mechanism by which bubbles crowd in capital investment. If capital is initially depressed by a binding credit constraint, injecting a bubble triggers a savings glut. Higher returns in a new bubbly equilibrium attract additional investors who expand investment at the extensive margin. We demonstrate that crowding-in through this channel is a robust phenomenon that occurs along the entire time path after bubbles are injected.

Suggested Citation

  • Hillebrand, Marten & Kikuchi, Tomoo & Sakuragawa, Masaya, 2013. "Bubbles and crowding-in of capital via a savings glut," Working Paper Series in Economics 48, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:kitwps:48
    DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000037162
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    1. Ricardo J. Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Mohamad L. Hammour, 2006. "Speculative Growth: Hints from the U.S. Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(4), pages 1159-1192, September.
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    4. Ben S. Bernanke, 2007. "Global imbalances: recent developments and prospects," Speech 317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2012. "Economic Growth with Bubbles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(6), pages 3033-3058, October.
    6. Kiminori Matsuyama, 2004. "Financial Market Globalization, Symmetry-Breaking, and Endogenous Inequality of Nations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 853-884, May.
    7. Kunieda, Takuma, 2008. "Asset bubbles and borrowing constraints," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 112-131, January.
    8. Tirole, Jean, 1985. "Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1499-1528, November.
    9. repec:fip:fedgsq:y:2007:i:sep11 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Takuma Kunieda & Tarishi Matsuoka & Akihisa Shibata, 2017. "Asset Bubbles, Technology Choice, and Financial Crises," Discussion Paper Series 157, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University, revised Feb 2017.
    2. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Xavier Raurich & Thomas Seegmuller, 2024. "Entrepreneurship, growth and productivity with bubbles," Post-Print hal-04718292, HAL.
    3. Brueckner, Markus & Kikuchi, Tomoo & Vachadze, George, 2023. "Transitional dynamics of the saving rate and economic growth," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(2), pages 482-505, March.
    4. Sakuragawa, Masaya & Tobe, Satoshi & Zhou, Mengyuan, 2021. "Chinese housing market and bank credit," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    5. Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, Lise & Raurich, Xavier & Seegmuller, Thomas, 2024. "Entrepreneurship, growth and productivity with bubbles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Tomoo Kikuchi & Athakrit Thepmongkol, 2020. "Capital Bubbles, Interest Rates, and Investment in a Small Open Economy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(8), pages 2085-2109, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    rational bubbles; savings glut; crowding-in; financial frictions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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