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The International Transmission of Credit Bubbles: Theory and Policy

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  • Alberto Martín
  • Jaume Ventura

Abstract

We live in a new world economy characterized by financial globalization and historically low interest rates. This environment is conducive to countries experiencing credit bubbles that have large macroeconomic effects at home and are quickly propagated abroad. In previous work, we built on the theory of rational bubbles to develop a framework to think about the origins and domestic effects of these credit bubbles. This paper extends that framework to include many countries and general preferences, and uses it to study how financial integration affects the properties of credit bubbles, how the latter are transmitted across countries, and the role of international policy coordination.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Martín & Jaume Ventura, 2015. "The International Transmission of Credit Bubbles: Theory and Policy," Working Papers 831, Barcelona School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:bge:wpaper:831
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    Cited by:

    1. Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, Lise & Kamihigashi, Takashi, 2017. "International transmission of bubble crashes in a two-country overlapping generations model," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 115-126.
    2. Hirano, Tomohiro & Toda, Alexis Akira, 2024. "Bubble economics," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    3. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "International Transmission of Bubble Crashes in a Two-Country Overlapping Generations," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-43, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    4. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.
    5. Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2018. "The Macroeconomics of Rational Bubbles: A User's Guide," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 505-539, August.
    6. Hori, Takeo & Im, Ryonghun, 2023. "Asset bubbles, entrepreneurial risks, and economic growth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    7. Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang & Jing Zhou, 2022. "Asset Bubbles and Foreign Interest Rate Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 315-348, April.
    8. Feng Dong & Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang, 2020. "Asset Bubbles and Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 68-98, August.
    9. Alberto Martín & Enrique Moral-Benito & Tom Schmitz, 2021. "The Financial Transmission of Housing Booms: Evidence from Spain," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(3), pages 1013-1053, March.
    10. Lise Claini-Chamosset-Yvrard & Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "International Transmission of Bubble Crashes: Stationary Sunspot Equilibria in a Two-Country Overlapping Generations Model," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-21, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    11. Vladimir Asriyan & Luca Fornaro & Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2021. "Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World [Money and Capital in a Persistent Liquidity Trap]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(3), pages 1418-1456.
    12. Alberto Martín & Enrique Moral-Benito & Tom Schmitz, 2018. "The Financial Transmission of Housing Bubbles: Evidence from Spain," Working Papers 625, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    13. Jose Eduardo Gomez-Gonzalez & Juliana Gamboa-Arbeláez & Jorge Hirs-Garzón & Andrés Pinchao-Rosero, 2018. "When Bubble Meets Bubble: Contagion in OECD Countries," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 546-566, May.
    14. Freixas, Xavier & Perez-Reyna, David, 2021. "Optimal macroprudential policy and rational bubbles," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    15. Ryosuke Shimizu, 2018. "Bubbles, growth and imperfection of credit market in a two-country model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 353-377, August.
    16. Theodosios Perifanis, 2019. "Detecting West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Prices’ Bubble Periods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-16, July.
    17. Boucekkine, Raouf & Kazuo, Nishimura & Venditti, Alain, 2017. "Introduction to international financial markets and banking systems crises," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 87-91.
    18. James D. Shilling & C.F. Sirmans & Barrett A. Slade, 2017. "Spatial Correlation in Expected Returns in Commercial Real Estate Markets and the Role of Core Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 297-337, April.
    19. Atsushi Motohashi, 2020. "Effectiveness of Bailout Policies for Asset Bubbles in a Small Open Economy," KIER Working Papers 1048, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    20. Ciccarone, Giuseppe & Giuli, Francesco & Marchetti, Enrico, 2019. "Should central banks lean against the bubble? The monetary policy conundrum under credit frictions and capital accumulation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 195-216.
    21. Wang, Shengquan & Chen, Langnan, 2019. "Driving factors of equity bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 304-317.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Önancial globalization; international capital áows; Sudden Stops; credit bubbles; international policy coordination;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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