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The impact of the 2008 Hadramout flash flood in Yemen on economic performance and nutrition: A simulation analysis

Author

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  • Breisinger, Clemens
  • Ecker, Olivier
  • Thiele, Rainer
  • Wiebelt, Manfred

Abstract

Combining a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (DCGE) model of the Yemeni economy with a microsimulation model that captures the link between changes in household incomes and changes in nutrition status, this paper provides a quantitative assessment of the agricultural, economy-wide, and nutritional impacts of the 2008 Hadramout flash flood in Yemen. The model simulations point to strong and persistent negative effects on agricultural value added, farm household incomes and nutrition among farmers in the region most severely affected by the flood. Regional spillover effects lead to temporary increases in hunger and significant cumulative income losses even in other regions where the flood has no direct impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Breisinger, Clemens & Ecker, Olivier & Thiele, Rainer & Wiebelt, Manfred, 2012. "The impact of the 2008 Hadramout flash flood in Yemen on economic performance and nutrition: A simulation analysis," Kiel Working Papers 1758, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1758
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Clemens Breisinger & Xinshen Diao & Marie‐Helen Collion & Pierre Rondot, 2011. "Impacts of the Triple Global Crisis on Growth and Poverty: The Case of Yemen," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 29(2), pages 155-184, March.
    2. Breisinger, Clemens & Ecker, Olivier & Al-Riffai, Perrihan & Robertson, Richard & Thiele, Rainer & Wiebelt, Manfred, 2011. "Climate change, agricultural production and food security: Evidence from Yemen," Kiel Working Papers 1747, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Boyd, Roy & Ibarrarán, Maria E., 2009. "Extreme climate events and adaptation: an exploratory analysis of drought in Mexico," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 371-395, June.
    4. Pauw, Karl & Thurlow, James & Bachu, Murthy & Van Seventer, Dirk Ernst, 2011. "The economic costs of extreme weather events: a hydrometeorological CGE analysis for Malawi," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 177-198, April.
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    1. Rajapaksa, Darshana & Zhu, Min & Lee, Boon & Hoang, Viet-Ngu & Wilson, Clevo & Managi, Shunsuke, 2017. "The impact of flood dynamics on property values," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 317-325.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    floods; agriculture; nutrition; CGE modeling; Yemen;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty
    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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