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Demographie und Bildung: gehen uns die Qualifizierten aus? Auswirkungen der Bevölkerungsentwicklung auf das deutsche Bildungssystem

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  • Foders, Federico

Abstract

In diesem Arbeitspapier wird die Hypothese untersucht, dass die gesamtwirtschaftliche Leistungsfähigkeit unter dem Einfluss demographischer und bildungspolitischer Faktoren steht. Als erstes wird ein Überblick über die Entwicklung des Qualifikationsangebots und der Arbeitsproduktivität in Deutschland gegeben. In einem zweiten Schritt werden die stilisierten Fakten dieser Entwicklung mit Hilfe eines modifizierten Wachstumsmodells mit überlappenden Generationen analysiert. Es zeigt, dass Gesellschaften, die mit den Folgen eines demographischen Schocks konfrontiert werden, grundsätzlich zwei Optionen haben. Entweder sie nehmen in Kauf, dass ein geringeres Angebot an Qualifizierten zu weniger Wirtschaftswachstum führt. Oder sie schaffen die notwendigen Anreize dafür, dass das Humankapital einer schrumpfenden und alternden Bevölkerung kontinuierlich aktualisiert und stärker als bisher wachstumswirksamen Verwendungen zugeführt wird.

Suggested Citation

  • Foders, Federico, 2000. "Demographie und Bildung: gehen uns die Qualifizierten aus? Auswirkungen der Bevölkerungsentwicklung auf das deutsche Bildungssystem," Kiel Working Papers 1003, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1003
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    Cited by:

    1. Weizsäcker Carl Christian von & Wohlgemuth Michael & Söllner Fritz & Oberender Peter & Blankart Charles B. & Sell Friedrich L. & Goldschmidt Nils & Fibelkorn-Bechert Andrea & Fleischmann Jochen & Haus, 2002. "Besprechungen," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 53(1), pages 329-484, January.
    2. Meinhard Knoche, 2005. "Personalpolitik als Gestalter und Wegbereiter von Innovationsprozessen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(01), pages 14-22, January.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • I2 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education

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