IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwedp/201642.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Market dynamics when participants rely on relative valuation

Author

Listed:
  • Lavelle, Sean

Abstract

Relative-valuation is a technique whereby financial analysts estimate the value of an asset by comparing it to its peers. The author formalizes the decision-making structure of a relativevaluation strategy and simulate a market defined by its use. He finds that when the distribution of peer valuation-multiples is skewed high or low, the market will tend to equilibrate over or undervalued, respectively. He furthers this analysis by looking at the effect that subjective analyst adjustments of market multiples might have and concludes that they have the potential to be highly destabilizing.

Suggested Citation

  • Lavelle, Sean, 2016. "Market dynamics when participants rely on relative valuation," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-42, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:201642
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2016-42
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/147023/1/870784846.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Grossman, Sanford J & Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1980. "On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 393-408, June.
    2. Da, Zhi & Schaumburg, Ernst, 2011. "Relative valuation and analyst target price forecasts," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 161-192, February.
    3. Alford, Aw, 1992. "The Effect Of The Set Of Comparable Firms On The Accuracy Of The Price Earnings Valuation Method," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 94-108.
    4. Jing Liu & Doron Nissim & Jacob Thomas, 2002. "Equity Valuation Using Multiples," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 135-172, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karel Janda, 2019. "Earnings Stability and Peer Company Selection for Multiple Based Indirect Valuation," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(1), pages 37-75, February.
    2. Wen-Shiung Lee, 2013. "Merger and acquisition evaluation and decision making model," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(15-16), pages 1473-1494, December.
    3. WS Nel, 2015. "An Optimal Peer Group Selection Strategy for Multiples-Based Modelling in the South African Equity Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(3), pages 30-46.
    4. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-062 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    6. Samie Ahmed Sayed, 2015. "Should Analysts Go by the Book? Valuation Models and Target Price Accuracy in an Emerging Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(5), pages 832-844, October.
    7. Andrzej Rutkowski, 2016. "Relative Company-Valuation Methods: Example of Companies Listed on the WSE (Metody porownawcze w wycenach przedsiebiorstw na przykladzie spolek notowanych na GPW w Warszawie)," Problemy Zarzadzania, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 14(63), pages 57-73.
    8. Holger Kraft & Eduardo Schwartz, 2015. "Cash Flow Multipliers and Optimal Investment Decisions," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 21(3), pages 399-429, June.
    9. Forte, Gianfranco & Gianfrate, Gianfranco & Rossi, Emanuele, 2020. "Does relative valuation work for banks?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    10. José Couto & Paula Brito & António Cerqueira, 2017. "The Method of Market Multiples on the Valuation of Companies: A Multivariate Approach," FEP Working Papers 586, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    11. Dittmann, I. & Maug, E.G., 2006. "Valuation Biases, Error Measures, and the Conglomerate Discount," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2006-011-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    12. How, Janice & Lam, Jennifer & Yeo, Julian, 2007. "The use of the comparable firm approach in valuing Australian IPOs," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 99-115.
    13. Jan Klobucnik & Daniel Kreutzmann & Soenke Sievers & Stefan Kanne, 2012. "To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals," Cologne Graduate School Working Paper Series 03-03, Cologne Graduate School in Management, Economics and Social Sciences.
    14. Yuan Yin & Ken Peasnell & Herbert G. Hunt, 2018. "How do sell-side analysts obtain price-earnings multiples to value firms?," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 108-135, January.
    15. Ciprian Codau, 2013. "Influencing Factors Of Valuation Multiples Of Companies," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, vol. 2(15), pages 1-4.
    16. Soenke Sievers & Jan Klobucnik, 2011. "Valuing high technology growth firms," Cologne Graduate School Working Paper Series 02-07, Cologne Graduate School in Management, Economics and Social Sciences.
    17. Aharon, David Y. & Gavious, Ilanit & Yosef, Rami, 2010. "Stock market bubble effects on mergers and acquisitions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 456-470, November.
    18. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-002 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Martin Husák, 2022. "Do Damodaran's Multiples Value a Company Accurately? Evidence from Germany," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2022(3), pages 5-21.
    20. Peter Roosenboom, 2007. "How Do Underwriters Value Initial Public Offerings? An Empirical Analysis of the French IPO Market," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 1217-1243, December.
    21. Minasyan, Vigen B. (Минасян, Виген) & Ivko, Daria (Ивко, Дарья), 2018. "Model Risk in the Valuation of Shares by the Multiplier Method [Модельный Риск При Оценке Акций Методом Мультипликаторов]," Working Papers 051801, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    22. Georgia Pazarzi, 2014. "Comparison of the Residual Income and the Pricing - Multiples Equity Valuation Models," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 88-114.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Relative valuation; inefficient; EMH; simulation; comparative valuation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:201642. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.