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Die Wirkung von Unsicherheit in den Abnehmerländern auf die deutschen Ausfuhren

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  • Jannsen, Nils
  • Potjagailo, Galina

Abstract

Vor dem Hintergrund der zuletzt weltweit erhöhten Unsicherheit, die sich auch in der recht hohen Volatilität der Aktienindizes widerspiegelt, hat die Frage nach den konjunkturellen Auswirkungen von Unsicherheit wieder an Bedeutung gewonnen. Einer steigenden Unsicherheit an den Finanzmärkten, aber auch einer erhöhten allgemeinen Unsicherheit über den weiteren Konjunkturverlauf, werden in der Regel konjunkturdämpfende Effekte zugeschrieben . Für das exportorientierte Deutschland stellt sich insbesondere die Frage, inwieweit dämpfende Effekte der erhöhten Unsicherheit in wichtigen Abnehmerländern, wie zum Beispiel in China, über den Außenhandelskanal "importiert" werden könnten.

Suggested Citation

  • Jannsen, Nils & Potjagailo, Galina, 2016. "Die Wirkung von Unsicherheit in den Abnehmerländern auf die deutschen Ausfuhren," Kiel Insight 2016.9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:20169
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Jannsen, Nils & Potjagailo, Galina, 2019. "Prognosen des IfW und tatsächliche Entwicklung im Jahr 2018," Kiel Insight 2019.5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina, 2016. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2016 - Gedehnter Aufschwung in Deutschland [German Economy Autumn 2016 - Stretched economic upswing in Germany]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 23, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Jannsen, Nils & Potjagailo, Galina, 2016. "Zu den Auswirkungen des Brexit-Votums auf die Ausfuhren und die Konjunktur in Deutschland," Kiel Insight 2016.23, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina, 2017. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2017 - Aufschwung gewinnt an Breite [German Economy Spring 2017 - Expansion is set to broaden]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 29, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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