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Reformoptionen des österreichischen Pensionssystem und ihre finanziellen Auswirkungen

Author

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  • Christl, Michael
  • Kucsera, Dénes

Abstract

Dieser Beitrag untersucht die Auswirkungen unterschiedlicher Reformoptionen auf die Finanzierbarkeit des österreichischen Pensionssystems bis zum Jahr 2060. Es werden sowohl Änderungen im Verhalten der Arbeitnehmer (effektives Pensionsantrittsalter) als auch Änderungen des Pensionssystems (gesetzliches Pensionsantrittsalter) simuliert. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass ein alleiniger Anstieg des effektiven Antrittsalters nicht ausreichend ist um den staatlichen Zuschuss (Bundesbeitrag) mittelfristig stabil zu halten. Vielmehr muss das gesetzliche Antrittsalter jährlich um zumindest zwei Monate steigen, damit auch eine langfristige Stabilität gewährleistet ist. In diesem Fall würde der Bundesbeitrag zwar mittelfristig (bis 2040) auf das 1,5fache (in Prozent des BIP) ansteigen, langfristig jedoch würde er (bis 2060) auf dem Wert von 2014 bleiben.

Suggested Citation

  • Christl, Michael & Kucsera, Dénes, 2015. "Reformoptionen des österreichischen Pensionssystem und ihre finanziellen Auswirkungen," EconStor Preprints 113283, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:113283
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard Disney, 2003. "Public Pension Reform in Europe: Policies, Prospects and Evaluation," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(10), pages 1425-1445, November.
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    4. Knell, Markus, 2010. "How automatic adjustment factors affect the internal rate of return of PAYG pension systems," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
    5. Markus Knell, 2013. "The Austrian System of Individual Pension Accounts – An Unfinished Symphony," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 47-62.
    6. Markus Knell, 2004. "The Role of Revaluation and Adjustment Factors in Pay-As-You-Go Pension Systems," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 55-71.
    7. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:179:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pensionssystem; Bundesbeitrag; Prognose; Antrittsalter;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • H53 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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