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How does EMU affect the dollar and the yen as international reserve and investment currencies?

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  • Frenkel, Michael
  • Søndergaard, Jens

Abstract

Since EMU represents a currency area with a GDP level and a world market share comparable to the United States, it is widely expected that the euro will become an important international currency. This paper suggests simple methods how to quantify the effects that EMU may exert on the roles of the dollar and the yen as the other major international currencies. Estimates presented indicate that the euro may indeed lead to a significant decline in the market share of the dollar as an official reserve currency of central banks and as an investment currency of private portfolios. These effects hinge on the assumption that the euro will achieve a reputation similar to that of the deutschmark before EMU. The projected shifts can be expected to materialize only in the medium term so that no immediate abrupt changes in the demand for dollars will occur.

Suggested Citation

  • Frenkel, Michael & Søndergaard, Jens, 1999. "How does EMU affect the dollar and the yen as international reserve and investment currencies?," Research Notes 99-5, Deutsche Bank Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:dbrrns:995
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael P. Dooley & J. Saul Lizondo & Donald J. Mathieson, 1989. "The Currency Composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 36(2), pages 385-434, June.
    2. Mr. Garry J. Schinasi & Mr. Alessandro Prati, 1997. "European Monetary Union and International Capital Markets: Structural Implications and Risks," IMF Working Papers 1997/062, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Lizondo, JoseSaul & Mathieson, Donald J., 1987. "The stability of the demand for international reserves," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 251-282, September.
    4. Mr. Paul R Masson & Mr. Bart Turtelboom, 1997. "Characteristics of the Euro, the Demand for Reserves, and Policy Coordination Under EMU," IMF Working Papers 1997/058, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriele Galati & Philip Wooldridge, 2009. "The euro as a reserve currency: a challenge to the pre-eminence of the US dollar?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(1), pages 1-23.
    2. Idil Goksel, 2004. "Does The Euro Have A Chance to Challenge The Dollar," Working Papers 0401, Izmir University of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Economic Integration; Long-Term Capital Movements; Financial Aspects of Economic Integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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