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Risks in domestic banks' corporate lending business

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  • Memmel, Christoph
  • Roling, Christoph

Abstract

We introduce an empirical approach to studying credit risk in the corporate loan portfolio. First, historical adverse scenarios for loss rates are identified at sector level. Second, we estimate the empirical association between loan losses and economic growth and then apply it to a scenario of adverse economic growth. We additionally model an increase in risk weights for banks that use an internal ratings-based approach (IRBA) to calculate the capital adequacy requirement for their loan portfolio.

Suggested Citation

  • Memmel, Christoph & Roling, Christoph, 2021. "Risks in domestic banks' corporate lending business," Technical Papers 08/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubtps:283332
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cohen, Benjamin H. & Scatigna, Michela, 2016. "Banks and capital requirements: Channels of adjustment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(S1), pages 56-69.
    2. Jiménez, Gabriel & Mencía, Javier, 2009. "Modelling the distribution of credit losses with observable and latent factors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 235-253, March.
    3. Papke, Leslie E & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, 1996. "Econometric Methods for Fractional Response Variables with an Application to 401(K) Plan Participation Rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(6), pages 619-632, Nov.-Dec..
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit Risk; Default Rate; Stress Test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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