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Fear, deposit insurance schemes, and deposit reallocation in the German banking system

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  • Fecht, Falko
  • Thum, Stefan
  • Weber, Patrick

Abstract

Recent regulatory initiatives such as the European Deposit Insurance Scheme propose a change in the coverage and backing of deposit insurances. An assessment of these proposals requires a thorough understanding of what drives depositors' withdrawal decisions. We show that Google searches for 'deposit insurance' and related strings reflect depositors' fears and help to predict deposit shifts in the German banking sector from private banks to fully guaranteed public banks. After the introduction of blanket state guarantees for all deposits in the German banking system this fear driven reallocation of deposits stopped. Our findings highlight that a heterogeneous insurance of deposits can lead to a sudden, fear induced reallocation of deposits endangering the stability of the banking sector even in absence of redenomination risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Fecht, Falko & Thum, Stefan & Weber, Patrick, 2019. "Fear, deposit insurance schemes, and deposit reallocation in the German banking system," Discussion Papers 12/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdps:122019
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    Cited by:

    1. Iakimenko, Irina & Semenova, Maria & Zimin, Eugenii, 2022. "The more the better? Information sharing and credit risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. repec:ces:ifodic:v:17:y:2019:i:1:p:50000000005875 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Tsouknidis, Dimitris, 2023. "Household deposits and consumer sentiment expectations: Evidence from Eurozone," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    4. Mihaela Tofan, 2022. "A Regulatory Perspective on the Actual Challenges for the European Deposit Insurance Scheme," Laws, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-13, October.
    5. König-Kersting, Christian & Trautmann, Stefan T. & Vlahu, Razvan, 2022. "Bank instability: Interbank linkages and the role of disclosure," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Dimitris Anastasiou & Athanassios Petralias, 2021. "On the Construction of a Leading Indicator Based on News Headlines for Predicting Greek Deposit Outflows," International Journal of Business Management and Finance Research, Academia Publishing Group, vol. 4(1), pages 1-11.
    7. Bonfim, Diana & Santos, João A.C., 2023. "The importance of deposit insurance credibility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    8. Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Drakos, Konstantinos, 2021. "European depositors’ behavior and crisis sentiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 117-136.
    9. Henry Penikas, 2022. "Pass-Through of the Bank of Russia Key Rate into Deposit Rates Between 2020 and 2022," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(2), pages 20-48, June.
    10. Falko Fecht & Patrick Weber, 2019. "What We Can Learn from the Introduction of Blanket Deposit Guarantees in Germany 2008 about the Benefits of EDIS," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(01), pages 26-29, May.
    11. Chen, Wang & Zhang, Zhiwen & Hamori, Shigeyuki & Kinkyo, Takuji, 2021. "Not all bank systemic risks are alike: Deposit insurance and bank risk revisited," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    12. Noman, Abu Hanifa Md. & Hassan, M. Kabir & Pervin, Sajeda & Isa, Che Ruhana & Sok-gee, Chan, 2022. "The mediating role of competition on deposit insurance and the risk-taking of banks in ASEAN countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    13. Tzomakas, Christos & Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Katsafados, Apostolos & Krokida, Styliani Iris, 2023. "Crisis sentiment and banks’ stock price crash risk: A missing piece of the puzzle?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Depositor expectations; Google; Deposit insurance; Competition for depositors; Bank runs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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