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Liquiditätseffekte einer Vermögensteuer bei Mietwohnimmobilien

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  • Maiterth, Ralf
  • Piper, Yuri
  • Sureth, Caren

Abstract

Dieser Beitrag untersucht Liquiditätseffekte einer Vermögensteuer bei Mietwohnimmobilien. Mithilfe von Daten einer Immobilien-Kapitalgesellschaft werden die Wirkungen einer Vermögensteuer auf die Cashflows aus der Vermietung von Wohnimmobilien simuliert. Der Detailgrad der Daten ermöglicht dabei Analysen auf Jahres-, Regional- und Baujahresebene. Ein Abgleich mit weiteren Immobiliendaten untermauert die Vergleichbarkeit und Aussagekraft der Analysen. Die Ergebnisse der Simulation zeigen, dass die Einführung einer Vermögensteuer den Cashflow aus dem Mietgeschäft erheblich reduzieren und zu Liquiditätsproblemen führen kann. Im Durchschnitt über alle Beobachtungen ergibt sich bei einem Vermögensteuersatz in Höhe von 2% ein negativer Cashflow nach Berücksichtigung aller Kosten. Generell bedeutet dies, dass wachstumsorientierte im Vergleich zu mietrenditeorientierten Immobilien stärker durch eine Vermögensteuer belastet werden. Insbesondere in Großstädten mit hohen Immobilienwerten, aber verhältnismäßig geringen Mieten, können die Liquiditätseffekte mehr als dreimal so hoch ausfallen wie in ländlichen bzw. industriell-geprägten Regionen, was zu einem relativen Attraktivitätsverlust führen kann. Durch die Entkopplung der Vermögensteuer von den Mieterträgen zeichnet sich eine starke Abhängigkeit der Steuerlast von aktuellen Marktentwicklungen und dem Zinsumfeld ab, was eine zusätzliche Unsicherheit für Investoren darstellt. Diese steuerliche Unsicherheit könnte sich potenziell auf die Investitionsbereitschaft auswirken und sollte daher in politischen Diskussionen über die Wiedereinführung einer Vermögensteuer berücksichtigt werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Maiterth, Ralf & Piper, Yuri & Sureth, Caren, 2024. "Liquiditätseffekte einer Vermögensteuer bei Mietwohnimmobilien," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 286, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:arqudp:303519
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