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Measuring the Real and Nominal Macroeconomic Shocks and their International Transmission under Different Monetary Systems

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  • Donald Robertson
  • Michael Wickens

Abstract

A fundamental distinction can be drawn between real and nominal macroeconomic shocks. The aim of this paper is to identify and measure these two types of shocks and to estimate the response of output growth and inflation to them. A vector autoregression methodology that incorporates long-run identifying restrictions is used. The analysis is carried out for the United States and United Kingdom using annual data since 1869 and quarterly postwar data. The transmission of these shocks between the two countries under different international monetary systems is compared. Copyright 1997 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd
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Suggested Citation

  • Donald Robertson & Michael Wickens, "undated". "Measuring the Real and Nominal Macroeconomic Shocks and their International Transmission under Different Monetary Systems," Discussion Papers 95/34, Department of Economics, University of York.
    • Handle: RePEc:yor:yorken:95/34
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    Cited by:

    1. Beckworth, David, 2007. "The postbellum deflation and its lessons for today," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 195-214, August.
    2. Rafiq, Sohrab, 2013. "Sources of time-varying trade balance and real exchange rate dynamics in East Asia," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 117-141.
    3. Sanjay Kumar Rout & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2021. "International interdependency of macroeconomic activities: a multivariate empirical analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 425-450, May.
    4. Peter N. Smith & Steffen Sorensen & Michael Wickens, 2010. "The equity premium and the business cycle: the role of demand and supply shocks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(2), pages 134-152.
    5. Dana Kloudova, 2015. "Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Usefulness by Forecasting Inflation," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 4(1), pages 45-59, March.
    6. Kloudová Dana, 2014. "Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Uselfulness by Forecasting Inflation," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 0402134, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    7. Andrew Mountford, 2005. "Leaning into the Wind: A Structural VAR Investigation of UK Monetary Policy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(5), pages 597-621, October.
    8. Wickens, Michael R., 1996. "Interpreting cointegrating vectors and common stochastic trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 255-271, October.
    9. Tarik M. Yousef, 2002. "Egypt's Growth Performance Under Economic Liberalism: A Reassessment with New GDP Estimates, 1885-1945," Working Papers 0211, Economic Research Forum, revised 11 Apr 2002.

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