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Unveiling the Failure of Positive Selection

Author

Listed:
  • Dongkyu Chang

    (City University of Hong Kong)

  • Duk Gyoo Kim

    (Yonsei University)

  • Wooyoung Lim

    (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

In dynamic screening problems between an uninformed seller and a privately-informed buyer, theory suggests that the presence of the buyer’s outside option leads to a significant surplus for the seller. However, this prediction relies on multiple layers of positive selection reasoning. To examine whether participants demonstrate positive selection in their belief updates, we conduct a two-round bargaining experiment with finite price alternatives, which enable us to identify first-, second-, and third-order positive selection reasoning. Few subjects adhere to the equilibrium reasoning, and the majority fail even at the first-order reasoning. Consequently, the seller payoffs fall short of the theoretical benchmark.

Suggested Citation

  • Dongkyu Chang & Duk Gyoo Kim & Wooyoung Lim, 2025. "Unveiling the Failure of Positive Selection," Working papers 2025rwp-238, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:yon:wpaper:2025rwp-238
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Positive Selection; Outside Options; Laboratory Experiments;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C78 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Bargaining Theory; Matching Theory
    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles

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