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The Effects of Seasonal Adjustment Linear Filters on Cointegrating Equations: A Monte Carlo Investigation

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  • Smith, J.C.
  • Otero, J.

Abstract

In this paper we assess, via Monte Carlo Simulations, the effects of some seasonal adjustment linear filters on cointegrating regressions. We find that the use of filters has adverse consequences in terms of the power of the Augmented Dickey and Fuller and Phillips and Perron tests of cointegration.

Suggested Citation

  • Smith, J.C. & Otero, J., 1996. "The Effects of Seasonal Adjustment Linear Filters on Cointegrating Equations: A Monte Carlo Investigation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 456, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:wrk:warwec:456
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    2. Perron, Pierre, 1988. "Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series : Further evidence from a new approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 297-332.
    3. Santiago Herrera A. & Juan Manuel Julio, 1993. "La demanda de dinero en el corto y en el largo plazo en Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 23(1), pages 91-107, April.
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    5. Alberto Carrasquilla & Carolina Rentería, 1990. "¿Es inestable la demanda por dinero en Colombia?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 9(17), pages 21-37, June.
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    7. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
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    9. Roberto Steiner Sampedro, 1988. "La Demanda Por Medios De Pago, Efectivo Y Depositos En Cuenta Corriente: 1967-1986," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 7(13), pages 69-85, June.
    10. Martha Misas A. & Rodrigo Suescún M., 1993. "Funciones de demanda de dinero y el comportamiento estacional del mercado monetario," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 12(23), pages 55-79, June.
    11. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
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    13. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
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    16. Osterwald-Lenum, Michael, 1992. "A Note with Quantiles of the Asymptotic Distribution of the Maximum Likelihood Cointegration Rank Test Statistics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 461-472, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Diego Winkelried Quezada, 2003. "Indicadores adelantados de la inflación en el Perú," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 345-382, octubre-d.
    2. Héctor A. Valle S., 2003. "Pronósticos de inflación para Guatemala hechos con modelos ARIMA y VAR," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 407-428, octubre-d.
    3. Cubadda, Gianluca, 1999. "Common Cycles in Seasonal Non-stationary Time Series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 273-291, May-June.
    4. Claudia Arguedas & Jorge Requena, 2003. "La dolarización en Bolivia: una estimación de la elasticidad de sustitución entre monedas," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 383-406, octubre-d.
    5. Jesús R. González García, 2003. "La dinámica del consumo privado en México: un análisis de cointegración con cambios de régimen," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 429-449, octubre-d.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COINTEGRATION; ECONOMIC MODELS; ECONOMETRICS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other

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