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Micromotives and macromoves : Political preferences and internal migration in England and Wales

Author

Listed:
  • Efthyvoulou, Georgios

    (University of Sheffield)

  • Bove, Vincenzo

    (University of Warwick, Department of Politics and International Studies and CAGE)

  • Pickard, Harry

    (Newcastle University Business School)

Abstract

When people migrate internally, do they tend to move to locations that reflect their political preferences? To address this question, we first compile a unique panel dataset on the universe of population movements in England and Wales across 346 local authority districts over the period 2002-2015, and estimate a gravity model of internal migration. We show that proximity in partisan composition exerts an important positive effect on migration flows, which is of a similar order of magnitude as wage differentials or ethnic proximity. We then use individual surveybased data over the same time period to investigate some of the micro-foundations underlying the macromoves. We find that political alignment to the district of residence contributes to individuals' sense of belonging and fitting in consistent with the existence of a political homophily mechanism and that a migrant's political ideology can predict the partisanship of the destination district.

Suggested Citation

  • Efthyvoulou, Georgios & Bove, Vincenzo & Pickard, Harry, 2021. "Micromotives and macromoves : Political preferences and internal migration in England and Wales," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1389, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:wrk:warwec:1389
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joseph G. Altonji & Todd E. Elder & Christopher R. Taber, 2005. "Selection on Observed and Unobserved Variables: Assessing the Effectiveness of Catholic Schools," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(1), pages 151-184, February.
    2. Thiemo Fetzer, 2019. "Did Austerity Cause Brexit?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(11), pages 3849-3886, November.
    3. Stephen Leslie & Bruce Winney & Garrett Hellenthal & Dan Davison & Abdelhamid Boumertit & Tammy Day & Katarzyna Hutnik & Ellen C. Royrvik & Barry Cunliffe & Daniel J. Lawson & Daniel Falush & Colin Fr, 2015. "The fine-scale genetic structure of the British population," Nature, Nature, vol. 519(7543), pages 309-314, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vincenzo Bove & Georgios Efthyvoulou & Harry Pickard, 2023. "Government ideology and international migration," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 107-138, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Internal migration ; Residential mobility ; Neighbourhood preference ; Polarization ; Political sorting ; Gravity models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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