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On Stability of the Demand for Money in a Developing OECD

Author

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  • Ferda HALICIOGLU

    (The University of Greenwich)

  • Mehmet UGUR

    (The University of Greenwich)

Abstract

This paper empirically analyses the stability of the narrow money demand function (M1) in Turkey for the period 1950-2002. As part of the IMF-sponsored stabilisation programme, Turkey has been pursuing base money targets. To ascertain whether this policy framework satisfies the necessary condition for effectiveness, we estimate and test for the stability of Turkish M1 by employing a recent single cointegration procedure proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) along with the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ stability tests. We demonstrate that there is a stable money demand function and it could be used as an intermediate target of monetary policy in Turkey.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferda HALICIOGLU & Mehmet UGUR, 2005. "On Stability of the Demand for Money in a Developing OECD," Macroeconomics 0508001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0508001
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    Cited by:

    1. A. Asongu, Simplice & E. Folarin, Oludele & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2020. "The Long-Run Stability of Money in the ProposedE ast AfricanMonetary Union," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 35(3), pages 457-478.
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    3. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ferda Halicioglu & Sahar Bahmani, 2017. "Do exchange rate changes have symmetric or asymmetric effects on the demand for money in Turkey?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(42), pages 4261-4270, September.
    4. Yannick Roussel & Amjad Ali & Marc Audi, 2021. "Measuring The Money Demand In Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 10(1), pages 27-41, March.
    5. Manamba EPAPHRA, 2017. "An Econometric Analysis of Demand for Money and its Stability in Tanzania," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 167-192, June.
    6. Bassey Nsikan Edet & Solomon Ubong Udo & Okon Ubokudom Etim, 2017. "Modelling the Demand for Money Function in Nigeria: Is There Stability?," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 6(1), pages 45-57, March.
    7. Halicioglu, Ferda, 2013. "Dynamics of obesity in Finland," MPRA Paper 48342, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Ferda Halıcıoğlu & Kasım Eren, 2017. "Testing Twin Deficits and Saving-Investment Nexus in Turkey," Yildiz Social Science Review, Yildiz Technical University, vol. 3(1), pages 35-46.
    9. Mouyad Alsamara & Zouhair Mrabet, 2019. "Asymmetric impacts of foreign exchange rate on the demand for money in Turkey: new evidence from nonlinear ARDL," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 335-356, April.
    10. Samih Antoine Azar & Fadi Asrawi & Emad Gharzuddine, 2017. "Economic Integration in the Six Middle Eastern Gulf Countries: A Look from the Perspective of Money Demand," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(3), pages 189-218, December.
    11. Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2011. "Demand for Money in Hungary: An ARDL Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 1, pages 01-16, November.
    12. Emel Siklar & Ilyas Siklar, 2021. "Is There a Change in the Money Demand Stability in Turkey? A Nonlinear Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 7(2), pages 28-42, 06-2021.
    13. Dennis Nchor & Václav Adamec, 2016. "Investigating the Stability of Money Demand in Ghana," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 64(6), pages 2075-2079.
    14. Payam MOHAMMAD ALIHA & Tamat SARMIDI & Fathin FAIZAH SAID, 2018. "Investigating The Effect Of Financial Innovations On The Demand For Money In Australia Using Dols And Fmols And Comparing Their Predictive Powers," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 17-30, July.
    15. Chor Foon Tang, 2013. "Evidence on Structural Instability in the Japanese Money Demand Function," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 7(3), pages 255-272, August.
    16. Peter Nsokolo Mumba & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2021. "An Analysis of the Money Demand Function for Zambia: A Gregory Hansen Cointegration Approach," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12.
    17. Petrevski, Goran & Jovanovski, Kiril, 2010. "Demand for money in Macedonia," SEER Journal for Labour and Social Affairs in Eastern Europe, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG, vol. 13(1), pages 121-136.
    18. Ozturk, Ilhan & Acaravci, Ali, 2008. "The Demand for Money in Transition Economies," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(2), pages 35-43, June.
    19. Ferda Halicioglu, 2013. "Dynamics of obesity in Finland," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(5), pages 644-657, October.
    20. Adnan A. Saed & Walid Al-Shawaqfeh, 2017. "The Stability of Money Demand Function in Jordan: Evidence from the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 331-337.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    co-integration; money demand; stability; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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