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Monetary Policy Effect on the Business Cycle Fluctuations: Output vs. Index Measures of the Cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Oleg Korenok

    (Rutgers University)

  • Stanislav Radchenko

    (University of North Carolina at Charlotte)

Abstract

The paper analyzes two questions: (i) the effect of a monetary policy shock on the business cycle and (ii) the extent to which a shift in a monetary policy affects the dynamics of business cycle. Unlike previous literature, to answer these questions, we measure cycle movements by calculating an index from a number of aggregate macroeconomic series via a dynamic factor model. We find that monetary policy shocks have a small but significant impact on persistent and transitory parts of the cycle. A systematic shift of monetary policy has a modest effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Oleg Korenok & Stanislav Radchenko, 2004. "Monetary Policy Effect on the Business Cycle Fluctuations: Output vs. Index Measures of the Cycle," Macroeconomics 0409015, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2004.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0409015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Afonso, António & Gonçalves, Luis, 2020. "The policy mix in the US and EMU: Evidence from a SVAR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    2. Boukraine, Wissem & Guerchi Mehri, Hella, 2022. "Should Tunisian Optimal Monetary Policy React to Wage Inflation? Evidence From A DSGE Model with Labor Market Frictions," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 29-50.
    3. Kutu Adebayo Augustine & Ngalawa Harold, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Industrial Output in the BRICS Countries: A Markov-Switching Model," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 35-55, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; business cycle; dynamic factor model; index of coincident economic indicators.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation

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