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Economic Crises and Governments in Turkey, 1969-2001 (Turkiye'de Ekonomik Krizler ve Hukumetler, 1969-2001)

Author

Listed:
  • Aykut Kibritcioglu

    (Ankara University)

Abstract

(This abstract and the paper are in Turkish.) Ekonomik krizler; herhangi bir mal, hizmet, uretim faktoru veya doviz piyasasindaki fiyat ve/veya miktarlarda, kabul edilebilir bir degisme sinirinin otesinde gerceklesen siddetli dalgalanmalar olarak tanimlanabilir. Soz konusu krizlerin ortaya cikisi ve olasi sonuclarinin bir ulkedeki politik istikrarsizlikla yakindan iliskili oldugu genelde kabul edilen bir gorustur. Bu calismanin ilk temel amaci; somut bir ekonomik kriz tanimi ve siniflandirmasindan yola cikilarak Turkiye’de 1969-2001 doneminde yasanan en onemli enflasyon, reel sektor ve doviz krizlerinin hangi hukumetler zamaninda ortaya ciktiginin istatistiksel olarak aylik veriler yardimiyla saptanmasidir. Bu amacla, makalede birer enflasyon krizi, reel kriz ve doviz piyasasi baski endeksi olusturulacak ve bunlar, mevcut calismada henuz herhangi bir sebep-sonuc iliskisi ayrica arastirilmaksizin, ulkedeki politik istirarsizligin onemli bir gostergesi oldugu kabul edilen hukumet degisim donemleri ile kabaca karsilastirilacaktir. Çalismada ikinci olarak; onceden hesaplanan uc ekonomik baski veya kriz endeksinin yardimiyla 1978-2001 donemi icin birer stagflasyonist baski ve genel ekonomik kriz endeksi turetilmesi amaclanmaktadir. Bu iki endeksteki asiri dalgalanmalar, stagflasyon krizi ve genel ekonomik kriz donemlerinin saptanmasi amaciyla kullanilacaktir.

Suggested Citation

  • Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2004. "Economic Crises and Governments in Turkey, 1969-2001 (Turkiye'de Ekonomik Krizler ve Hukumetler, 1969-2001)," Macroeconomics 0401008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0401008
    Note: Type of Document - MSWord/PDF; prepared on PC; to print on any printer; pages: 18; figures: included
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    File URL: https://econwpa.ub.uni-muenchen.de/econ-wp/mac/papers/0401/0401008.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ibrahim Tutar & Aysit Tansel, 2000. "Political Business Cycles, Institutional Structure and Budget Deficits in Turkey?," Working Papers 2019, Economic Research Forum, revised 07 Jun 2000.
    2. C. Emre Alper, 2001. "The Turkish Liquidity Crisis of 2000: What Went Wrong..," Working Papers 2001/11, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.
    3. Kibritçioğlu, Aykut & Rittenberg, Libby & Selçuk, Faruk & Akçay, O. Cevdet & Alper, C. Emre & Berument, M. Hakan & Dibooğlu, Selahattin & Erlat, Haluk & Ertuğrul, Ahmet & Malatyalı, N. Kamuran & Nas, , 2002. "Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey," EconStor Books, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 110203, September.
    4. Hali J. Edison, 2003. "Do indicators of financial crises work? An evaluation of an early warning system," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(1), pages 11-53.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Başak Tanyeri, 2010. "Financial Transparency and Sources of Hidden Capital in Turkish Banks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 37(1), pages 25-43, February.
    2. Tamer Četin & Feridun Yilmaz, 2010. "Transition to the Regulatory State in Turkey: Lessons from Energy," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 393-402.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic crises; inflation; real sector crises; currency crises; political instability; Turkish economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • N25 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Asia including Middle East
    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State

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