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The World Bank Macro-Fiscal Model Technical Description

Author

Listed:
  • Burns,Andrew
  • Campagne,Benoit Philippe Marcel
  • Jooste,Charl
  • Stephan,David Andrew
  • Bui,Thi Thanh

Abstract

This paper outlines the structure and economic foundation of the World Bank's macroeconomic and fiscal model (MFMod). MFMod consists of individual country models for 181 countries. The models are used by country economists within the World Bank's Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice to (i) generate country forecasts and (ii) simulate various policies. Each model has a similar structure and functional form, with variation reflecting data availability and economic specialization (notably for oil exporters). Although the functional forms are similar, the parameters are country specific and estimated at the country level. Forecasts across countries are live-linked, with the export market growth of each country calculated as a trade-weighted average of imports of each of its trading partners. Remittance inflows and outflows are balanced across countries through a similar mechanism. Other cross-country linkages come through the real effective exchange rate and export and import prices, which are a function of world commodity prices and local cost considerations.

Suggested Citation

  • Burns,Andrew & Campagne,Benoit Philippe Marcel & Jooste,Charl & Stephan,David Andrew & Bui,Thi Thanh, 2019. "The World Bank Macro-Fiscal Model Technical Description," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8965, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:8965
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    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/294311565103938951/pdf/The-World-Bank-Macro-Fiscal-Model-Technical-Description.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Campagne,Benoit Philippe Marcel & Kitzmuller,Markus & Tordo,Silvana, 2020. "Designing Oil Revenue Management Mechanisms : An Application to Chad," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9402, The World Bank.
    2. Ozana Nadoveza Jelić & Rafael Ravnik, 2021. "Introducing Policy Analysis Croatian MAcroecoNometric Model (PACMAN)," Surveys 41, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    3. Hallegatte, Stéphane & Jooste, Charl & McIsaac, Florent, 2024. "Modeling the macroeconomic consequences of natural disasters: Capital stock, recovery dynamics, and monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Macroeconomic Management; Employment and Unemployment;
    All these keywords.

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