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Does oil revenue crowd out other tax revenues ? policy lessons for Uganda

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  • Tsoungui Belinga,Vincent De Paul
  • Melou,Maximillien Kaffo
  • Nganou,Jean-Pascal

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between hydrocarbon and non-hydrocarbon revenues using a probabilistic panel model with data covering 30 resource-rich countries over 1992-2012. It also discusses policy implications for Uganda, a country with recently discovered oil reserves. The findings show that although an increase in hydrocarbon revenues is likely to crowd out non-resource revenues, improved institutional quality could dampen or reverse this effect. In general, regulatory quality, rule of law, government effectiveness, and political stability are critically important governance indicators. In light of Uganda's forthcoming exploitation of its oil, the odds of avoiding the crowding out of non-resource revenues are high with a substantial improvement of institutional quality in terms of political stability, regulatory quality, and government effectiveness. Currently, these indicators stand very low for Uganda as compared with Botswana

Suggested Citation

  • Tsoungui Belinga,Vincent De Paul & Melou,Maximillien Kaffo & Nganou,Jean-Pascal, 2017. "Does oil revenue crowd out other tax revenues ? policy lessons for Uganda," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8048, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:8048
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    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/245571493644820505/pdf/WPS8048.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Seydou Coulibaly, 2019. "Impact of natural resource wealth on non-resource tax revenue mobilization in Africa: Do institutions and economic diversification matter?," Working Papers halshs-02108128, HAL.
    2. Émilie Caldeira & Ali Compaore & Alou Adessé Dama & Mario Mansour & Grégoire Rota-Graziosi, 2019. "Effort fiscal en Afrique subsaharienne : les résultats d’une nouvelle base de données," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 27(4), pages 5-51.
    3. Emilie Caldeira & Alou Adessé Dama & Ali Compaoré & Mario Mansour & Grégoire Rota-Graziosi, 2020. "Tax effort in Sub-Saharan African countries : evidence from a new dataset," Working Papers hal-02543162, HAL.
    4. Compaoré, Ali, 2022. "Access-for-all to financial services: Non-resources tax revenue-harnessing opportunities in developing countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 236-245.
    5. Aïchatou Mourfou & Issaka Dialga & Idrissa Mohamed Ouedraogo, 2022. "Effets de l'exploitation des ressources naturelles sur la mobilisation des recettes fiscales non liées aux ressources naturelles dans l'Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA)," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(2), pages 188-200, June.
    6. Seydou Coulibaly, 2019. "Impact of natural resource wealth on non-resource tax revenue mobilization in Africa: Do institutions and economic diversification matter?," CERDI Working papers halshs-02108128, HAL.
    7. Sarra Ben Slimane, 2024. "The Impact of Resource Revenue on Non-Resource Tax Revenue in Oil-Exporting Countries: Evidence from Nonlinear Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 272-280, January.
    8. Ali Compaore, 2020. "Access-for-all to Financial Services: Non- resources Tax Revenue-harnessing Opportunities in Developing Countries," Working Papers hal-02901664, HAL.

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