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Vulnerability to Poverty in rural Malawi

Author

Listed:
  • Mccarthy,Nancy
  • Brubaker,Josh
  • De La Fuente,Alejandro

Abstract

Considerations of risk and vulnerability are key to understanding the dynamics of poverty in rural Malawi. This study measures vulnerability to consumption shortfalls and analyzes its sources using a two-period panel of 2,789 households, drawn from the 2010 Third Integrated Household Survey and the 2013 Integrated Household Panel Survey. The results show that in 2010 two-fifths of all households had a chance of at least 40 percent of falling below the poverty line in the future. The results show that many households in rural Malawi are vulnerable to poverty, although, as with many other studies of rural areas in other countries, much of the vulnerability is caused by chronic poverty. Nonetheless, risks, particularly rainfall and loss of off-farm employment, are also important in explaining why poor households remain poor, and why some non-poor households are more likely to fall into poverty in the next period. Household wealth and agricultural assets can protect households from falling into poverty and reduce the severity of the fall when shocks occur. However, there is little evidence to suggest that other strategies to reduce vulnerability are effective.

Suggested Citation

  • Mccarthy,Nancy & Brubaker,Josh & De La Fuente,Alejandro, 2016. "Vulnerability to Poverty in rural Malawi," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7769, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7769
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Kpienbaareh & Evans Sumabe Batung & Isaac Luginaah, 2022. "Spatial and Temporal Change of Land Cover in Protected Areas in Malawi: Implications for Conservation Management," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19, February.
    2. Kpienbaareh, Daniel & Atuoye, Kilian N. & Ngabonzima, Anaclet & Bagambe, Patrick G. & Rulisa, Stephen & Luginaah, Isaac & Cechetto, David F., 2019. "Spatio-temporal disparities in maternal health service utilization in Rwanda: What next for SDGs?," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 164-175.
    3. McCarthy, Nancy & Kilic, Talip & Brubaker, Joshua & Fuente, Alejandro de la & Murray, Siobhan, 2021. "Recurrent Climatic Shocks and Humanitarian Aid: Impacts on Livelihood Outcomes in Malawi," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315324, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Maike Hohberg & Katja Landau & Thomas Kneib & Stephan Klasen & Walter Zucchini, 2018. "Vulnerability to poverty revisited: Flexible modeling and better predictive performance," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 16(3), pages 439-454, September.
    5. Jhon Edwar Hernández & Blanca Zuluaga, 2022. "Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty: An Application to Colombian Households," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 345-371, November.
    6. Komikouma Apelike Wobuibe Neglo & Tnsue Gebrekidan & Kaiyu Lyu, 2021. "The Role of Agriculture and Non-Farm Economy in Addressing Food Insecurity in Ethiopia: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-22, April.

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