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Macroeconomic volatility after trade and capital account liberalization

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  • Pancaro, Cosimo

Abstract

What are the equilibrium effects of trade and capital liberalization on consumption smoothing? This question is addressed by studying the response to productivity shocks in a baseline two country, two goods, incomplete market model, where foreign borrowing is secured by collateral. The paper shows that international financial integration, modeled by relaxing a borrowing constraint a la Kiyotaki in the domestic country, worsens consumption smoothing; international trade integration, modeled by a reduction of non linear iceberg transportation costs, improves it. As a measure of consumption smoothing, the analysis uses the ratio between the simulated standard deviation of consumption growth and the simulated standard deviation of output growth. These results are qualitatively consistent with the empirical evidence provided by Kose, Prasad and Terrones (2003).

Suggested Citation

  • Pancaro, Cosimo, 2010. "Macroeconomic volatility after trade and capital account liberalization," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5441, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:5441
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie & Uribe, Martin, 2003. "Closing small open economy models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 163-185, October.
    2. Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie & Uribe, Martin, 2004. "Solving dynamic general equilibrium models using a second-order approximation to the policy function," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 755-775, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hira Mujahid & Shaista Alam, 2014. "The impact of financial openness, trade openness on macroeconomic volatility in Pakistan: ARDL Co Integration approach," E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics., E3 Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 001-008.
    2. Feriansyah & Noer Azam Achsani & Tony Irawan, 2018. "The Effect Of Financial Liberalization And Capital Flows On Income Volatility In Asia-Pacific," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 20(3), pages 257-278, January.
    3. Lathaporn Ratanavararak, 2018. "The Impact of Imperfect Financial Integration and Trade on Macroeconomic Volatility and Welfare in Emerging Markets," PIER Discussion Papers 79, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    4. Ma, Yong & Jiang, Yiqing & Yao, Chi, 2022. "Trade openness, financial openness, and macroeconomic volatility," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(1).

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    Keywords

    Emerging Markets; Economic Theory&Research; Free Trade; Debt Markets; Trade Policy;
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