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The Enduring Impacts of a Big Push during Multiple Crises : Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan

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  • Bedoya Arguelles,Guadalupe
  • Belyakova,Yulia
  • Coville,Aidan
  • Escande,Thomas
  • Isaqzadeh,Mohammad
  • Ndiaye,Aminata

Abstract

How do proven strategies to improve the economic conditions of ultra-poor households hold up against the increasing severity and co-incidence of economic, security, and climate shocks Five years after receiving an economic livelihoods package, and shortly prior to the 2021 regime change, “ultra-poor” women in Afghanistan continued to have significantly higher levels of consumption, assets, market work participation, financial inclusion, children’s school enrollment, and women’s psychological well-being and empowerment, relative to the control group. Households boost resilience by diversifying productive activities and the program improves equality by reducing the gaps between ultra-poor and non-ultra- poor households across multiple dimensions. The results illustrate how an increasingly popular approach to improve the conditions of the very poor through a one-off “big push” intervention can strengthen household resilience through multiple shocks in one of the most fragile settings worldwide.

Suggested Citation

  • Bedoya Arguelles,Guadalupe & Belyakova,Yulia & Coville,Aidan & Escande,Thomas & Isaqzadeh,Mohammad & Ndiaye,Aminata, 2023. "The Enduring Impacts of a Big Push during Multiple Crises : Experimental Evidence from Afghanistan," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10596, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:10596
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Brune, Lasse & Karlan, Dean & Kurdi, Sikandra & Udry, Christopher, 2022. "Social protection amidst social upheaval: Examining the impact of a multi-faceted program for ultra-poor households in Yemen," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    2. Abhijit Banerjee & Esther Duflo & Garima Sharma, 2021. "Long-Term Effects of the Targeting the Ultra Poor Program," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 471-486, December.
    3. Jeff Tollefson, 2022. "These experiments could lift millions out of dire poverty," Nature, Nature, vol. 606(7915), pages 640-642, June.
    4. Bedoya Arguelles,Guadalupe & Coville,Aidan & Haushofer,Johannes & Isaqzadeh,Mohammad Razaq & Shapiro,Jeremy, 2019. "No Household Left Behind : Afghanistan Targeting the Ultra Poor Impact Evaluation," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8877, The World Bank.
    5. Strauss, John & Thomas, Duncan, 1995. "Human resources: Empirical modeling of household and family decisions," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Hollis Chenery & T.N. Srinivasan (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 34, pages 1883-2023, Elsevier.
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