IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ven/wpaper/202115.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Sovereign rating methodologies, ESG and climate change risk: an overview

Author

Listed:
  • Denitsa Angelova

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice; Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC))

  • Francesco Bosello

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice; Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC))

  • Andrea Bigano

    (Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC); RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE))

  • Silvio Giove

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice)

Abstract

We review the sovereign credit rating methodologies of three credit rating agencies (Moody's, S&P and Fitch) and analyze how they currently accommodate climate change risk and ESG considerations. We elaborate on the differences between the three rating methodologies and critically evaluate their suitability and limitations. We propose lines of improvement with respect to the indicator selection, normalization, aggregation and weighting procedures as well as the use of the sovereign rating indicator in connection with climate change scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Denitsa Angelova & Francesco Bosello & Andrea Bigano & Silvio Giove, 2021. "Sovereign rating methodologies, ESG and climate change risk: an overview," Working Papers 2021:15, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    • Handle: RePEc:ven:wpaper:2021:15
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.unive.it/pag/fileadmin/user_upload/dipartimenti/economia/doc/Pubblicazioni_scientifiche/working_papers/2021/WP_DSE_angelova_bosello_bigano_giove_15_21.pdf
    File Function: First version, anno
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patrycja Klusak & Matthew Agarwala & Matt Burke & Moritz Kraemer & Kamiar Mohaddes, 2023. "Rising Temperatures, Falling Ratings: The Effect of Climate Change on Sovereign Creditworthiness," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7468-7491, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Julia Anna Bingler, 2022. "Expect the worst, hope for the best: The valuation of climate risks and opportunities in sovereign bonds," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 22/371, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    2. Christian Morgenstern & Guillaume Coqueret & James Kelly, 2022. "International market exposure to sovereign ESG," Post-Print hal-04325654, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Agarwala, Matthew & Burke, Matt & Klusak, Patrycja & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Volz, Ulrich & Zenghelis, Dimitri, 2021. "Climate Change And Fiscal Sustainability: Risks And Opportunities," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 258, pages 28-46, November.
    2. Jorge M. Uribe, 2023. ""Fiscal crises and climate change"," IREA Working Papers 202303, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2023.
    3. Kamiar Mohaddes & Ryan N C Ng & M Hashem Pesaran & Mehdi Raissi & Jui-Chung Yang, 2023. "Climate change and economic activity: evidence from US states," Oxford Open Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2, pages 28-46.
    4. Julia Anna Bingler, 2022. "Expect the worst, hope for the best: The valuation of climate risks and opportunities in sovereign bonds," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 22/371, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    5. John Beirne & Nuobu Renzhi & Ulrich Volz, 2021. "Bracing for the Typhoon: Climate change and sovereign risk in Southeast Asia," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 537-551, May.
    6. Andrea Consiglio & Akis Kikas & Odysseas P. Michaelides & Stavros A. Zenios, 2024. "Auditing Public Debt Using Risk Management," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 54(2), pages 103-126, March.
    7. Matthew Agarwala & Matt Burke & Patrycja Klusak & Kamiar Mohaddes & Ulrich Volz & Dimitri Zenghelis, 2021. "Climate Change and Fiscal Responsibility: Risks and Opportunities," Working Papers 008, The Productivity Institute.
    8. Stavros A. Zenios, 2022. "The risks from climate change to sovereign debt," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-19, June.
    9. Damette, Olivier & Mathonnat, Clément & Thavard, Julien, 2024. "Climate and sovereign risk: The Latin American experience with strong ENSO events," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    10. Andrés Alonso-Robisco & José Manuel Carbó & José Manuel Marqués, 2023. "Machine Learning methods in climate finance: a systematic review," Working Papers 2310, Banco de España.
    11. Raphael Semet & Thierry Roncalli & Lauren Stagnol, 2021. "ESG and Sovereign Risk: What is Priced in by the Bond Market and Credit Rating Agencies?," Papers 2110.06617, arXiv.org.
    12. Karydas, Christos & Xepapadeas, Anastasios, 2022. "Climate change financial risks: Implications for asset pricing and interest rates," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate risk; sovereign risk; sovereign credit; rating agency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ven:wpaper:2021:15. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Geraldine Ludbrook (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dsvenit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.