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Processes of Class Sigma, Last Passage Times, and Drawdowns

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Abstract

We propose a general framework for studying last passage times, suprema, and drawdowns of a large class of continuous-time stochastic processes. Our approach is based on processes of class Sigma and the more general concept of two processes, one of which moves only when the other is at the origin. After investigating certain transformations of such processes and their convergence properties, we provide three general representation results. The first allows the recovery of a process of class Sigma from its final value and the last time it visited the origin. In many situations this gives access to the distribution of the last time a stochastic process attains a certain level or is equal to its running maximum. It also leads to recently discovered formulas expressing option prices in terms of last passage times. Our second representation result is a stochastic integral representation that will allow us to price and hedge options on the running maximum of an underlying that are triggered when the underlying drops to a given level or, alternatively, when the drawdown or relative drawdown of the underlying attains a given height. The third representation gives conditional expectations of certain functionals of processes of class Sigma. It can be used to deduce the distributions of a variety of interesting random variables such as running maxima, drawdowns, and maximum drawdowns of suitably stopped processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Cheridito & Ashkan Nikeghbali & Eckhard Platen, 2012. "Processes of Class Sigma, Last Passage Times, and Drawdowns," Published Paper Series 2012-4, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
  • Handle: RePEc:uts:ppaper:2012-4
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    File URL: https://epubs.siam.org/doi/abs/10.1137/09077878X
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hongzhong Zhang, 2018. "Stochastic Drawdowns," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 10078, August.
    2. Kardaras, Constantinos & Kreher, Dörte & Nikeghbali, Ashkan, 2015. "Strict local martingales and bubbles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64967, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Martin Larsson, 2013. "Non-Equivalent Beliefs and Subjective Equilibrium Bubbles," Papers 1306.5082, arXiv.org.
    4. Fulgence Eyi-Obiang & Youssef Ouknine & Octave Moutsinga, 2017. "On the Study of Processes of $$\sum (H)$$ ∑ ( H ) and $$\sum _\mathrm{s}(H)$$ ∑ s ( H ) Classes," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 117-142, March.
    5. Claudio Fontana & Monique Jeanblanc & Shiqi Song, 2012. "On arbitrages arising from honest times," Papers 1207.1759, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2013.
    6. Vladimir Cherny & Jan Obłój, 2013. "Portfolio optimisation under non-linear drawdown constraints in a semimartingale financial model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 771-800, October.
    7. Claudio Fontana & Monique Jeanblanc & Shiqi Song, 2014. "On arbitrages arising with honest times," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 515-543, July.
    8. Cui, Zhenyu & Nguyen, Duy, 2016. "Omega diffusion risk model with surplus-dependent tax and capital injections," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 150-161.
    9. Libo Li, 2018. "Characterisation of honest times and optional semimartingales of class-($\Sigma$)," Papers 1801.03873, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
    10. Libo Li, 2022. "Characterisation of Honest Times and Optional Semimartingales of Class- $$(\Sigma )$$ ( Σ )," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 35(4), pages 2145-2175, December.

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