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Plague, war, and exodus? The effects of desert locust swarms on migration intentions in Yemen

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  • Yashodhan Ghorpade

Abstract

I study the effect of the 2019-21 desert locust outbreak on the intention to migrate among rural households and individuals in Yemen, as an illustration of the human mobility impacts of climate change-related shocks in a complex emergency setting. Using the first systematic household survey conducted in southern Yemen since the beginning of the ongoing conflict, I find that a one standard-deviation increase in exposure to desert locusts increases the individual willingness to migrate (internally or abroad) by 12 percentage points among rural residents.

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  • Yashodhan Ghorpade, 2024. "Plague, war, and exodus? The effects of desert locust swarms on migration intentions in Yemen," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2024-51, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2024-51
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Ingrid Dallmann & Katrin Millock, 2017. "Climate Variability and Inter-State Migration in India," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 63(4), pages 560-594.
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    4. Michael Berlemann & Max Friedrich Steinhardt, 2017. "Climate Change, Natural Disasters, and Migration—a Survey of the Empirical Evidence," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 63(4), pages 353-385.
    5. Le, Kien & Nguyen, My, 2022. "Desert locust swarms and child health," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    6. Ingrid Dallmann & Katrin Millock, 2017. "Climate Variability and Inter-State Migration in India," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01630310, HAL.
    7. Antoaneta Roussi, 2020. "Why gigantic locust swarms are challenging governments and researchers," Nature, Nature, vol. 579(7799), pages 330-330, March.
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    Keywords

    Migration; Climate change; Yemen; Natural disasters; Shocks;
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