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The electoral consequences of corruption and integrity scandals: The case of Dutch local elections

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  • Harm Rienks

    (University of Groningen and COELO)

Abstract

Corruption scandals reveal to voters that a politician is not who he publicly is presenting to be and also reveals information about mal-performance. This paper investigates whether voters mainly respond to the first cue, as predicted by theories modeling elections as a type-selection device, or rather to the second cue, as predicted by theories modeling elections as an accountability device. For this a unique panel dataset is used on corruption and integrity scandals in Dutch local elections in the period 2006-2018. It finds that Dutch voters severely punish parties whose candidates have been involved in corruption scandals. An average sized party loses on average 11 percentage points of their voters compared to similar parties whose candidates were not involved in a corruption scandal. This paper also shows that voters punish integrity violation less directly related to in-office performance, such as misconduct in private time, much more mildly. These results support the accountability theory of voting rather than the type-selection theory. This also indicates that the corruption literature does not suffer from sub-set-bias and has been correct in treating corruption as being distinct from other integrity violations.

Suggested Citation

  • Harm Rienks, 2019. "The electoral consequences of corruption and integrity scandals: The case of Dutch local elections," Economics Working Paper from Condorcet Center for political Economy at CREM-CNRS 2019-11-ccr, Condorcet Center for political Economy.
    • Handle: RePEc:tut:cccrwp:2019-11-ccr
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Claudio Ferraz & Frederico Finan, 2008. "Exposing Corrupt Politicians: The Effects of Brazil's Publicly Released Audits on Electoral Outcomes," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(2), pages 703-745.
    2. J. S. Maloy, 2014. "Linkages of Electoral Accountability: Empirical Results and Methodological Lessons," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 2(2), pages 13-27.
    3. López-Valcárcel, Beatriz G. & Jiménez, Juan Luis & Perdiguero, Jordi, 2017. "Danger: Local corruption is contagious!," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 790-808.
    4. Costas-Pérez, Elena & Solé-Ollé, Albert & Sorribas-Navarro, Pilar, 2012. "Corruption scandals, voter information, and accountability," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 469-484.
    5. Karin Lasthuizen & Leo Huberts & Leonie Heres, 2011. "How to Measure Integrity Violations," Public Management Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 383-408, March.
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