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Terrorism control in the tourism industry

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  • Feichtinger, G.
  • Hartl, R.F.
  • Kort, P.M.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

  • Novak, A.J.

Abstract

In some countries, for instance Egypt, terrorists try to hurt thecountry income from the tourism industry by violent actions againsttourists. Another example are actions of the Kurds to bring tourism down inthe east of Turkey. This paper is a first attempt to model some relevantaspects of these prey–predator relations. The country tries tomaximize profits from the tourism industry, where profit is defined as thedifference between revenue from the tourism industry and the sum ofexpenditures on tourism industry investments and expenditures on enforcementassociated with reducing terrorism. It turns out that, for reasonableparameter values, the optimal trajectory exhibits a cyclical strategy. Theinterpretation is that, after starting out with a low number of tourists andterrorists, tourism investments are undertaken to increase tourism. Thisattracts terrorists reducing the effect of tourism investments. Therefore,investment declines and so does the number of tourists. This makes it lessattractive for terrorists to act, so we are back in the original situation,where the whole thing starts again.
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Suggested Citation

  • Feichtinger, G. & Hartl, R.F. & Kort, P.M. & Novak, A.J., 2001. "Terrorism control in the tourism industry," Other publications TiSEM 06ce575b-82fc-41e0-9141-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:06ce575b-82fc-41e0-9141-957401f53403
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    Cited by:

    1. Chenavaz, Régis Y. & Leocata, Marta & Ogonowska, Malgorzata & Torre, Dominique, 2022. "Sustainable tourism," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Das, Satya P., 2008. "Some mechanisms of terror cycles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 67(3-4), pages 644-656, September.
    3. Peren Arin, K. & Lorz, Oliver & Reich, Otto F.M. & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2011. "Exploring the dynamics between terrorism and anti-terror spending: Theory and UK-evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 189-202, February.
    4. Song, Haiyan & Gartner, William C. & Tasci, Asli D.A., 2012. "Visa restrictions and their adverse economic and marketing implications – Evidence from China," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 397-412.
    5. Kerim Peren ARIN & Otto. F. REICH & Oliver LORZ & Nicola SPAGNOLO, 2010. "Understanding Homeland Security: Theory and UK Evidence," EcoMod2010 259600011, EcoMod.
    6. João Ricardo Faria & Andreas Novak & Aniruddha Bagchi & Timothy Mathews, 2020. "The Refugee Game: The Relationship between Individual Security Expenditures and Collective Security," Games, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-13, June.
    7. Faria Joao Ricardo, 2003. "Terror Cycles," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, April.
    8. Russu, Paolo, 2012. "On the Optimality of Limit Cycles in Nature Based-Tourism," MPRA Paper 36599, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Konstantinos Drakos & Ali M. Kutan, 2003. "Regional Effects of Terrorism on Tourism in Three Mediterranean Countries," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 47(5), pages 621-641, October.

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