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Enhancing Regional Resilience for Energy Price Shocks: Efficient Gas Use and Upstream Decarbonization

Author

Listed:
  • Sacha den Nijs

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Mark Thissen

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute)

Abstract

Resilience and competitiveness in relation to fossil energy dependencies is of increasing concern to industries and policy makers. We investigate to what extent the competitive position of industries in European regions are sensitive to changes in fossil fuel prices, and whether reductions in gas use along the value chain may increase regional industry resilience. A new spatial revealed cost competition model based on the input-output price model is used and calibrated to multi-regional world input-output tables on an EU NUTS 2 level. We obtain elasticities of fossil fuel prices on revealed cost competitiveness and analyze how they are affected by increased efficiency and electrification in production. We show that European regions are resilient to global coal price increases, whereas they are vulnerable to gas price shocks. The transition towards using less gas in production, by efficiency improvements or electrification, can reduce these gas price vulnerabilities. However, when competitors become more efficient instead, the vulnerability to such shocks may increase. Decarbonizing upstream sectors like electricity generation in the own region, own country or in Europe, can increase resilience of downstream industrial sectors in most European regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Sacha den Nijs & Mark Thissen, 2024. "Enhancing Regional Resilience for Energy Price Shocks: Efficient Gas Use and Upstream Decarbonization," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-061/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20240061
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Competitiveness; regional resilience; fossil fuels; energy efficiency; global value chains; input-output analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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