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Les répercussions du commerce sur la taille des usines, la durée des cycles de production et la diversification

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  • Baldwin, John R. Gu, Wulong

Abstract

La présente étude porte sur l'effet de la libéralisation des échanges sur la taille des usines, la durée des cycles de production et la diversification des produits. Nous élaborons tout d'abord un modèle du commerce de produits différenciés sous l'hypothèse d'usines multiproduits. Nous présentons ensuite des preuves empiriques à partir d'un grand panel d'usines de fabrication canadiennes et d'après leur expérience de l'Accord de libre échange entre le Canada et les États Unis (ALE) de 1989. Selon le modèle, les réductions tarifaires bilatérales réduisent la diversification des produits des usines exportatrices, augmentent la durée des cycles de production et ont un effet ambigu sur la taille de ces usines. En outre, elles réduisent la diversification des produits et la taille des usines non exportatrices mais n'ont pas d'effet sur la durée des cycles de production de ces usines. Les données empiriques sur les usines non exportatrices appuient le modèle de façon générale. Les données recueillies sur les usines exportatrices montrent que les établissements exportateurs réduisent la diversification des produits et augmentent la durée des cycles de production et la taille des usines, mais ces changements ne semblent pas être liés aux réductions tarifaires. Une fois entrées sur les marchés d'exportation, les usines réagissent à des forces autres que les réductions tarifaires. De nouvelles réductions tarifaires ont alors moins d'effet sur ces usines.

Suggested Citation

  • Baldwin, John R. Gu, Wulong, 2006. "Les répercussions du commerce sur la taille des usines, la durée des cycles de production et la diversification," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2006038f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques.
    • Handle: RePEc:stc:stcp5f:2006038f
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Baldwin,John R. & Gorecki,Paul With contributions by-Name:Caves,Richard E. With contributions by-Name:Dunne,Tim With contributions by-Name:Haltiwanger,John, 1998. "The Dynamics of Industrial Competition," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521633574, January.
      • Baldwin,John R. & Gorecki,Paul With contributions by-Name:Caves,Richard E. With contributions by-Name:Dunne,Tim With contributions by-Name:Haltiwanger,John, 1995. "The Dynamics of Industrial Competition," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521465618, January.
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    8. Marc J. Melitz & Giancarlo I. P. Ottaviano, 2021. "Market Size, Trade, and Productivity," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Firms and Workers in a Globalized World Larger Markets, Tougher Competition, chapter 4, pages 87-108, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    16. repec:rus:hseeco:122439 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Baldwin, John R. Beckstead, Desmond Brown, W. Mark Rigby, David, 2007. "Économies urbaines et productivité," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2007045f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques.
    2. Lileeva, Alla, 2008. "Dynamique de la libéralisation des échanges et de la productivité : un éclairage canadien," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2008051f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques.

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