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The Role of Public Security Reforms on Violent Crime Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Danilo Souza
  • Mateus Maciel

Abstract

In the context of increasing violence, public security reforms are commonly advocated as a solution to the problem despite the lack of empirical evidence. We address this question by evaluating the effect of the Pacto pela Vida program, a comprehensive reform on the public security of the state of Pernambuco, Brazil. We document a reduction of 16 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants following the program implementation. We show that a reduction in crimes occurring on the streets and associated with young males and firearm availability are likely to have contributed to the program’s effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Danilo Souza & Mateus Maciel, 2024. "The Role of Public Security Reforms on Violent Crime Dynamics," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2024_19, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    • Handle: RePEc:spa:wpaper:2024wpecon19
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    File URL: http://www.repec.eae.fea.usp.br/documentos/Souza_Maciel_19WP.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    2. Mark Gius, 2020. "Using the synthetic control method to determine the effects of firearm seizure laws on state-level murder rates," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(21), pages 1754-1758, December.
    3. Barros, Fernando & Delalibera, Bruno R. & Neto, Valdemar Pinho & Rodrigues, Victor, 2022. "Bonus for firearms seizures and police performance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    4. Ater, Itai & Givati, Yehonatan & Rigbi, Oren, 2014. "Organizational structure, police activity and crime," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 62-71.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crime; reform; policy evaluation; Brazil;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H76 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Other Expenditure Categories
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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