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Asymmetry and non-linearity in exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from scanner data

Author

Listed:
  • In Kyung Kim

    (Department of Economics, Sogang University, Seoul, Korea)

  • Jinhyuk Lee

    (Department of Economics, Korea University)

  • Hyejoon Im

    (School of Economics & Finance, Yeungnam University)

Abstract

Using retail scanner data from Kazakhstan, an emerging economy with significant and un-expected exchange rate fluctuations, we observe an incomplete yet substantial exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into prices. Specifically, we note a 50% change occurring a year after the initial shock. The ERPT demonstrates asymmetry in response to exchange rate movements. Notably, the direction of this asymmetry is opposite for imported versus domestic products. Furthermore, our findings indicate that ERPT is non-linear; the price response is more pro-nounced when the exchange shock is small, aligning with the existence of menu costs. Our results also reveal that larger retailers exhibit a greater ERPT compared to smaller or medium-sized retailers, regardless of the exchange rate shock direction. Understanding these asymmetric and non-linear price responses to exchange rate shocks may be crucial for formulating effective inflation targeting policies, especially in emerging economies prone to high inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • In Kyung Kim & Jinhyuk Lee & Hyejoon Im, 2023. "Asymmetry and non-linearity in exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from scanner data," Working Papers 2303, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
  • Handle: RePEc:sgo:wpaper:2303
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    File URL: https://url.kr/pt245s
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Dedola, Luca, 2005. "A macroeconomic model of international price discrimination," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 129-155, September.
    2. Giancarlo Corsetti & Luca Dedola, 2002. "Macroeconomics of international price discrimination," International Finance Discussion Papers 744, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate pass-through; consumer prices; scanner data; inflation dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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