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Cosmic cycles of global Conjuncture

Author

Listed:
  • Vladimir Belkin

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch; Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences.)

Abstract

The author has revealed strong links between Juglar and Kitchin cycles of world product (1961 - 2013) and U.S. GDP (1798–2013), on the one hand, and the cycles of solar activity – on the other. On this basis, he developed a forecast deterioration in the global conjuncture in 2014–2015 years. The author reveals the close relationship heliobiology and helioeconomy.

Suggested Citation

  • Vladimir Belkin, 2014. "Cosmic cycles of global Conjuncture," Published Papers che12, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ppaper:che12
    as

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    File URL: https://repec.ranepa.ru/rnp/ppaper/che12.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. World Bank, 2014. "The World Bank Annual Report 2014 [Informe anual 2014 del Banco Mundial]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 20093.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    solar activity cycles; cycles of global conjuncture; cycles of GDP; long waves in the economy; forecasting economic crises;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General

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