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Dynamiken in asymmetrischen Konflikten: eine Simulationsstudie

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Wir illustrieren den Einsatz von Simulationstechniken zur Betrachtung komplexer Dynamiken in asymmetrischen Konfliktsituationen mit begrenzt rationalen Akteuren. Dazu wird erst ein formaler Modellrahmen entwickelt, dessen Steady state wir bestimmen. Darauf baut eine Umsetzung des Modells in SIMULINK und die Entwicklung von Entscheidungsverfahren für die Spieler auf. Anhand eines Basisszenarios diskutieren wir typische Verläufe von asymmetrischen Konflikten.

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  • Beckmann, Klaus & Reimer, Lennart, 2014. "Dynamiken in asymmetrischen Konflikten: eine Simulationsstudie," Working Paper 147/2014, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:vhsuwp:2014_147
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    conflict dynamics; simulation; terrorism; media;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions

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