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Stabilność fiskalna – przegląd metod analizy

Author

Listed:
  • Paczek-Jarmulska, Barbara

    (Ministerstwo Finansów, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie)

Abstract

Niniejszy przegląd metod i podejść do analizy stabilności fiskalnej posłużył jako podstawa wzmocnienia regularnego monitoringu stabilności polityki fiskalnej przeprowadzanego w polskim Ministerstwie Finansów. W szczególności, efekty tego monitoringu wykorzystywane są corocznie w aktualizacji Programu Konwergencji. W opracowaniu przedstawiono katalog definicji stanowiących podstawę analizy stabilności fiskalnej w różnych instytucjach oraz scharakteryzowano metody i podejścia wykorzystywane zarówno przez instytucje krajowe i międzynarodowe, jak i w opracowaniach naukowych. Przedstawiono również charakterystykę dotychczasowych analiz stabilności fiskalnej w Polsce przeprowadzanych przez Komisję Europejską, Międzynarodowy Fundusz Walutowy i Ministerstwo Finansów w oparciu o wystandaryzowane podejścia. Następnie wskazano zmiany wprowadzone w Programie Konwergencji w efekcie dokonanego przeglądu.

Suggested Citation

  • Paczek-Jarmulska, Barbara, 2016. "Stabilność fiskalna – przegląd metod analizy," MF Working Papers 25, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:mfplwp:0025
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hamilton, James D & Flavin, Marjorie A, 1986. "On the Limitations of Government Borrowing: A Framework for EmpiricalTesting," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(4), pages 808-819, September.
    2. Reinhard Neck & Jan-Egbert Sturm (ed.), 2008. "Sustainability of Public Debt," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262140985, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stabilność fiskalna; dług publiczny; wskaźniki stabilności; stochastyczne projekcje;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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