중동부유럽으로의 EU 확대 평가와 향후 전망(Enlargement of the European Union: Evaluation and Outlook)

본 연구에서는 러시아의 우크라이나 침공 이후 EU의 추가 확대 가능성에 대한 고찰을 통해 향후 한-EU 경제협력 관련 정책 시사점을 제시한다. 기존의 EU 확대 관련 연구가 글로벌 금융위기 이전에 주로 수행된 반면, 본 연구는 금융위기 및 유로존 위기와 팬데믹 등을 거치며 나타난 변화를 반영한다는 점에서 차별성을 갖는다. 특히 중동부유럽 국가들의 EU 가입 이후 성과에 대한 평가와 함께 다양한 경제지표 및 거버넌스 지수 분석을 통해 신규 가입 후보국들의 현 상황을 세부적으로 진단하고, 기업 및 산업 구조에 대한 조망을 통해 우리나라의 대EU 진출 전략을 도출하였다. This study assesses the previous enlargement of the EU and investigates the potential enlargement EU in the future. The European Union has established itself as a politically and economically integrated community in the European region, and it continues to evolve. The biggest change in the EU in the last two decades was the massive enlargement of the EU to the countries of Central and Eastern Europe in 2004, when eight Central and Eastern European countries joined the EU together at the same time. The discussion of EU enlargement, which has been stagnant since the last enlargement when Croatia joined the EU, seems to have been revitalized by the recent Russian invasion of Ukraine. As further changes in the EU are becoming increasingly visible, the purpose of this study is to draw implications for Korea’s future strategy to cooperate with the EU candidate countries. To this end, Chapter 2 provides an understanding of the EU’s enlargement process, and Chapter 3 lays the groundwork for future conjectures through an economic and political assessment of existing Central and Eastern European countries since their accession to the EU. In addition, Chapter 4 examines the prospects for the accession of the candidate countries through a diagnosis of their current economies and governance, and Chapter 5 examines Korea’s cooperation with the existing Central and Eastern European countries and the current status of cooperation with the candidate countries. We conclude with the prospects for further enlargement of the EU and policy implications for Korea’s future cooperation in Chapter 6. (the rest omitted)