포스트 코로나 시대의 아세안 공동체 변화와 신남방정책의 과제(The ASEAN Community in the Post COVID-19 era: Challenges and Policy Implications)

아세안은 2015년 아세안 공동체를 출범시키고 정치·안보, 경제, 사회·문화 영역에서 역내 통합을 추진해왔으나, 미·중 전략경쟁 심화 및 코로나19 확산 등 대내외 환경 변화로 인해 새로운 도전과제에 직면하고 있다. 특히 코로나19는 아세안의 정치·안보, 경제, 사회·문화 전반에 걸쳐 광범위한 영향을 미치고 있으며, 이러한 영향은 당분간 지속될 것으로 예상된다. 이는 아세안 공동체 추진에 상당한 부담이 될 것으로 보이며, 이에 따라 향후 한-아세안 협력에도 변화가 요구된다. This report evaluates the performance of the three pillars of the ASEAN community―the Political-Security, Economic, and SocioCultural pillars―at the halfway point of the blueprint to build the ASEAN Community by 2025. The paper also analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the ASEAN Community and comprehensively addresses the existing and newly encountered challenges of ASEAN in the COVID-19 era. Based on these analyses, we derive policy recommendations for cooperation between ASEAN and Korea to support recovery from COVID-19 and successful progress of the ASEAN Community. ASEAN established the ASEAN Community in 2015 and adopted the three blueprints set out in the strategic measures to build Socio-Cultural, Political-Security, and Economic communities by 2025. Chapter 2 introduces the ASEAN Community’s goals and work plans guided by APSC, AEC, and ASCC blueprints, and examined the implementation mechanism to pursue the various measures. We also review the contents and significance of the ASEAN Comprehensive Recovery Framework (ACRF), which is a COVID-19 exit strategy at the ASEAN level, and present our forecasts on the future of the ASEAN Community after COVID-19. In Chapter 3, this paper evaluates the progress of ASEAN economic integration and examined environmental changes caused by COVID-19, and the challenges faced by ASEAN subsequently. According to the results of this study, AEC’s goal of establishing a “highly integrated and cohesive economy” has been successfully implemented in accordance with its work plan, but the actual economic performance appear to fall short of expectations. Therefore, we identify the factors that hinder ASEAN's economic integration and further present ASEAN's challenges to solve them. Chapter 4 analyzes the performance of the ASEAN Political-Security Community (APSC) and examines the prospects of the APSC after COVID-19. First, we reviewed the main contents of the APSC Mid-term Review Report released by the ASEAN Secretariat, and analyzed the fundamental limitations of the APSC blueprint 2025. Then we analyzed the impact of COVID-19 on the building of APSC.(the rest omitted)