IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/adbewp/0291.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Demographic Change, Intergenerational Transfers, and the Challenges for Social Protection Systems in the People’s Republic of China

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Qiulin

    (Stanford University)

  • Eggleston, Karen

    (Stanford University)

  • Li, Ling

    (Peking University)

Abstract

The transition in the People’s Republic of China from a centrally planned economy to a market-based economy is widely acclaimed for leading to unprecedented economic growth, but there is a growing awareness of the social strains accompanying that growth such as the lagging development of the social protection system as the population ages. Using estimates from the National Transfer Accounts database, we describe changes in life cycle public transfers; interhousehold transfers; and intrahousehold transfers for education, health care, and other support; and discuss the main challenges that demographic change poses for the pension and health care systems. Demographic change and its interaction with family behavior and social policies will strongly shape both future economic growth—through savings and investment decisions, labor supply and productivity—and the sustainability of social support systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Qiulin & Eggleston, Karen & Li, Ling, 2011. "Demographic Change, Intergenerational Transfers, and the Challenges for Social Protection Systems in the People’s Republic of China," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 291, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0291
    Note: http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/economics-wp-291.pdf
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.adb.org/publications/demographic-change-intergenerational-transfers-and-challenges-social-protection-systems
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry Eichengreen & Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin, 2012. "When Fast-Growing Economies Slow Down: International Evidence and Implications for China," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 11(1), pages 42-87, Winter/Sp.
    2. Bloom, David E & Williamson, Jeffrey G, 1998. "Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 12(3), pages 419-455, September.
    3. N/A, 2008. "Statistical Appendix," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 205(1), pages 117-126, July.
    4. N/A, 2008. "Statistical Appendix," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 204(1), pages 116-125, April.
    5. Wei, Zheng & Hao, Rui, 2010. "Demographic structure and economic growth: Evidence from China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 472-491, December.
    6. Gary S. Becker & Robert J. Barro, 1988. "A Reformulation of the Economic Theory of Fertility," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 103(1), pages 1-25.
    7. N/A, 2008. "Statistical Appendix," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 206(1), pages 119-128, October.
    8. Donghyun Park & Sang-Hyop Lee & Andrew Mason (ed.), 2012. "Aging, Economic Growth, and Old-Age Security in Asia," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 15088.
    9. Yi Zeng & Linda George, 2000. "Family Dynamics of 63 Million (in 1990) to More Than 330 Million (in 2050) Elders in China," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 2(5).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cai, Yong & Wang, Feng & Li, Ding & Wu, Xiwei & Shen, Ke, 2014. "China’s age of abundance: When might it run out?," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 4(C), pages 90-97.
    2. Jin Feng & Pingyi Lou & Yangyang Yu, 2015. "Health Care Expenditure over Life Cycle in the People's Republic of China," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 32(1), pages 167-195, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ling Li & Qiulin Chen & Yu Jiang, 2011. "The changing patterns of China's public services," Chapters, in: Ronald Lee & Andrew Mason (ed.), Population Aging and the Generational Economy, chapter 22, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Qin Gao & Fuhua Zhai, 2017. "Public Assistance, Economic Prospect, and Happiness in Urban China," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 132(1), pages 451-473, May.
    3. Farag, Sendy & Lyons, Glenn, 2012. "To use or not to use? An empirical study of pre-trip public transport information for business and leisure trips and comparison with car travel," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 82-92.
    4. Williams, Jenny & Bretteville-Jensen, Anne Line, 2014. "Does liberalizing cannabis laws increase cannabis use?," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 20-32.
    5. Matthias Doepke, 2004. "Accounting for Fertility Decline During the Transition to Growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 347-383, September.
    6. Jane Golley & Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou, 2018. "Fertility and savings contractions in China: Long‐run global implications," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(11), pages 3194-3220, November.
    7. Aiyar, Shekhar & Duval, Romain & Puy, Damien & Wu, Yiqun & Zhang, Longmei, 2018. "Growth slowdowns and the middle-income trap," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 22-37.
    8. Jane Golley & Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou, 2016. "Contractions in Chinese Fertility and Savings: Long-run Domestic and Global Implications," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Iris Day & John Simon (ed.),Structural Change in China: Implications for Australia and the World, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    9. Thomas Flochel & Yuki Ikeda & Harry Moroz & Nithin Umapathi, 2014. "Macroeconomic Implications of Aging in East Asia Pacific," World Bank Publications - Reports 23026, The World Bank Group.
    10. Abdullah Abdulaziz A. Bawazir & Mohamed Aslam & Ahmad Farid Bin Osman, 2020. "Demographic change and economic growth: empirical evidence from the Middle East," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 429-450, August.
    11. Josep Colomer & Humberto Llavador, 2012. "An agenda-setting model of electoral competition," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 73-93, March.
    12. Sang-Hyop Lee & Andrew Mason & Donghyun Park, 2012. "Overview: why does population aging matter so much for Asia? Population aging, economic growth, and economic security in Asia," Chapters, in: Donghyun Park & Sang-Hyop Lee & Andrew Mason (ed.), Aging, Economic Growth, and Old-Age Security in Asia, chapter 1, pages 1-31, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Jena Parameswari Summoogum & Benjamin Chan Yin Fah, 2016. "A Comparative Study Analysing the Demographic and Economic Factors Affecting Life Expectancy among Developed and Developing Countries in Asia," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(4), pages 100-110, December.
    14. David E. BLOOM & Jocelyn E. FINLAY, 2009. "Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 4(1), pages 45-64, June.
    15. Uddin, Gazi A. & Alam, Khorshed & Gow, Jeff, 2016. "Population age structure and savings rate impacts on economic growth: Evidence from Australia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 23-33.
    16. Hanzhi Hu, 2023. "The Consequences of Fertility Decline on Educational Attainment in China," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(6), pages 1-30, December.
    17. Lamar Crombach & Jeroen Smits, 2022. "The Demographic Window of Opportunity and Economic Growth at Sub-National Level in 91 Developing Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 171-189, May.
    18. Kalabikhina, I. & Kazbekova, Z., 2022. "The impact of the first demographic dividend on economic growth considering human capital," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 55(3), pages 81-100.
    19. Jinqi Ye & Ziyan Chen & Bin Peng, 2021. "Is the demographic dividend diminishing in China? Evidence from population aging and economic growth during 1990–2015," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 2255-2274, November.
    20. Joel Alejandro Rosado & Mar a Isabel Alvarado S nchez, 2017. "From Population Age Structure and Savings Rate to Economic Growth: Evidence from Ecuador," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 352-361.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    demographic change; social protection systems;

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • I13 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Insurance, Public and Private
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0291. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Orlee Velarde (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/eradbph.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.