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When are Capital Controls Effective? Evidence from Malaysia and Thailand

Author

Listed:
  • Jongwanich, Juthathip

    (Asian Institute of)

  • Gochoco-Bautista, Maria Socorro

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Lee, Jong-Wha

    (Korea University)

Abstract

This study examines the impact of capital controls using monthly information to construct higher-frequency, quarterly indexes for Malaysia during the period 2000–2008 and Thailand over the period 2000–2010 in a vector auto regression model. The results show that restrictions in Thailand have no significant effect on inflows but are especially effective for outflows, particularly foreign direct investment. In Malaysia, capital relaxation tends to have a significant impact on inward foreign direct investment and portfolio inflows. Changes in capital account policies do not have a significant impact on the real exchange rate in Malaysia and Thailand.

Suggested Citation

  • Jongwanich, Juthathip & Gochoco-Bautista, Maria Socorro & Lee, Jong-Wha, 2011. "When are Capital Controls Effective? Evidence from Malaysia and Thailand," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 251, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0251
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa & Mr. R. B. Johnston, 1998. "Why Do Countries Use Capital Controls?," IMF Working Papers 1998/181, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Ooi Sang Kuang, 2008. "Capital flows and financial assets in emerging markets: determinants, consequences and challenges for central banks: the Malaysian experience," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial globalisation and emerging market capital flows, volume 44, pages 321-339, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Jacques Miniane, 2004. "A New Set of Measures on Capital Account Restrictions," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 51(2), pages 1-4.
    4. Martin Schindler, 2009. "Measuring Financial Integration: A New Data Set," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(1), pages 222-238, April.
    5. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 1999. "Exchange and Capital Controls as Barriers to Trade," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 46(1), pages 1-4.
    6. Mody, Ashoka & Murshid, Antu Panini, 2005. "Growing up with capital flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 249-266, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2013. "Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability: A Perspective from the Developing World," Working Papers Series 324, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Kubo, Akihiro, 2017. "The macroeconomic impact of foreign exchange intervention: An empirical study of Thailand," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 243-254.
    3. Liew, Ping-Xin & Lim, Kian-Ping & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2018. "Foreign equity flows: Boon or bane to the liquidity of Malaysian stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 161-181.
    4. Tan, Siow-Hooi & Lai, Ming-Ming & Tey, Eng-Xin & Chong, Lee-Lee, 2020. "Testing the performance of technical analysis and sentiment-TAR trading rules in the Malaysian stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    5. Pornpen Sodsrichai & Sakkapop Panyanukul & Nantaporn Pongpatthananon, 2011. ""Putting All Eggs in One Basket" Thailand's Under-Investment Abroad: Impact and Explanations," Working Papers 2011-06, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    capital controls; capital flows; Malaysia; Thailand; vector autoregression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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