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Quantifying the Impact of Exporter-Specific, Importer-Specific and only Time-Varying Variables in Structural Gravity

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  • Dadakas, Dimitrios

Abstract

Advances in gravity literature have presented econometric approaches for the theoretically consistent estimation of structural gravity. When estimating the impact of policy-shocks on trade values however, researchers are confronted with two problems. Once multilateral resistances are taken into account, through time-varying importer and exporter fixed effects, they absorb the effect of policy-shock indicator variables. Hence, we cannot obtain a coefficient for the impact of policy. The second problem is rooted in the necessary panel data dimensions in structural gravity that requires multiple-exporters and multiple-importers. The (at least) three dimensional panel implies that any coefficients/impacts that are estimated apply to the whole set of exporters rather than the country related to the scope of the research. I propose a method to approach these two problems, estimate the impact that policy-shock variables have on trade and differentiate the results for the country/countries related to the scope of the research. A short application on the impact that the Global Financial Crisis had on trade values is presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Dadakas, Dimitrios, 2020. "Quantifying the Impact of Exporter-Specific, Importer-Specific and only Time-Varying Variables in Structural Gravity," MPRA Paper 98956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:98956
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade; Structural Gravity; PPML; Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood; Global Financial Crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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