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الاقتصاد الذكي …… مدخل لتحقيق تنمية زراعية مستدامة
[Smart economy ... an entrance to achieve the sustainable agricultural development]

Author

Listed:
  • الرسول, أد/ أحمد أبواليزيد
  • مرسي, د/ مي مصطفى حسن
  • رمضان, م/ آلاء محمد أحمد

Abstract

تتمثل مشكلة البحث في الإجابة على السؤال التالي: هل إستراتيجية التنمية المستدامة: رؤية مصر 2030" تلبي احتياجات ومتطلبات التنمية الزراعية المستدامة بيئياً؟ خاصة في تحقيق الرفاهية الاقتصادية للأفراد، واعتمد البحث في تحقيق أهدافه على أسلوب التحليل الوصفي والكمي، والعرض الجدولي والبياني، والنسب المئوية، والمتوسطات الحسابية والهندسية، ومعدلات النمو، بالإضافة إلى الانحدار المتعدد في الصورة اللوغاريتمية المزدوجة باستخدام بيانات سنوية تغطي الفترة 2000-2014، للوصول إلى أهم محددات الرفاهية الشخصية في مصر، والأضرار الناتجة عن التعديات على الأراضي الزراعية والفاقد في المياه الموجهة للزراعة، وانبعاثات غاز ثاني أكسد الكربون وذلك للوقوف على وضع التنمية المستدامة بيئياً في مصر. وتوصل البحث إلى عدد من النتائج منها: فيما بتعلق بالرفاهية الشخصية البيئية: تم تقدير العلاقة بين الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الحقيقية كمتغير تابع، وكل من عدد السكان الحاصلين على مصدر محسن لمياه الشرب، أضرار انبعاثات غاز ثاني أكسيد الكربون بالأسعار الحقيقية كمتغيرات مستقلة، واتضح وجود علاقة طردية معنوية إحصائياً بين الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الحقيقية وعدد السكان الحاصلين على مصدر محسن لمياه الشرب، ووجود علاقة عكسية معنوية إحصائياً بين الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الحقيقية وأضرار انبعاثات غاز ثاني أكسيد الكربون بالأسعار الحقيقية، مما يشير إلى بُعد السياسات المصرية الزراعية عن الاهتمام بالمعايير والأهداف البيئية لتحقيق تنمية زراعية مستدامة بيئياً، وهو ما يفسر مع ترتيب مصر وفقا لمؤشر التلوث العالمي حيث تحتل مصر المرتبة الأولى كأعلى الدول من حيث التلوث عام 2016. وفيما يتعلق بالاستدامة البيئية: تم تقدير العلاقة بين أضرار انبعاثات غاز ثاني أكسيد الكربون بالأسعار الحقيقية كمتغير تابع، وكل من الناتج الزراعي الإجمالي، قيمة الوقود النفطي المستخدم في القطاع الزراعي بالأسعار الحقيقية، وعدد السكان المصريين كمتغيرات مستقلة، واتضح وجود علاقة موجبة معنوية إحصائياً بين المتغيرات المستقلة الثلاثة والمتغير التابع. وتجدر الإشارة إلى أن العلاقة الموجبة بين أضرار انبعاثات غاز ثاني أكسيد الكربون والناتج الزراعي الإجمالي تُعزى إلى الإسراف في استخدام مستلزمات إنتاج ملوثة للبيئة كالوقود والأسمدة الكيماوية والمبيدات وغيرها، والتي ينتج عنها زيادة انبعاثات غاز ثاني أكسيد الكربون. Abstract The Scientific and technological progress is a crucial issue for all developed and developing countries. The development of any society depends on the success of this society in mobilizing and organizing its efforts to benefit from the available scientific and technological capabilities available. The Sustainable Agricultural Development (SAD) aims to meet food requirements and needs of present and future generations, providing permanent employment, adequate incomes, decent living and working conditions for all participants in the agricultural sector, maintaining the productive capacity of natural resources and renewable ones in particular. Newly, Planning requires many innovations in all fields, especially in real asset management, while ensuring sustainability of using resources as one of the dimensions of Smart Economy, which includes the main fields of energy, waste management and environmental conditions to improve the quality of life, which is reflected on personal welfare by dependency. The problem of research is to answer the following question "Is Sustainable Development Strategy: Egypt's Vision 2030" addressing the needs and requirements of environmentally sustainable agricultural development? Especially in achieving the objective well-being. The research found the following results: objective well- being: The relation between real GDP as a dependent variable, and the number of people with an improved source of drinking water, andcarbon dioxide emissions Damage in real prices as independent variables was estimated to find a statistically significant positive relation between GDP In real prices and the number of people with an improved source of potable water, and a statistically significant inverse relationship between real GDP and carbon dioxide emissions Damage in real prices, Which refers to that Egypt's agricultural policies are far from the environmental standards for achieving environmentally sustainable agricultural development. This explained the low rank of Egypt according to the global pollution index, where Egypt ranked first among the countries in terms of pollution in 2016. environmental sustainability: The relationship between carbon dioxide emissions Damage in real prices as a dependent variable and the agricultural gross domestic product, and the value of oil used in the agricultural sector in real prices, and the number of Egyptian population as independent variables was estimated to find a statistically significant positive relationship between the three Independent variables and the dependent variable. This positive relationship between carbon dioxide emissions damage and the agricultural gross domestic product is due to the excessive use of environmentally polluting inputs such as fuel, chemical fertilizers, pesticides and others, resulting in increased carbon dioxide emissions. Key Words: Smart Economy, Sustainable Development, Carbon dioxide emissions Damage, objective well- being.

Suggested Citation

  • الرسول, أد/ أحمد أبواليزيد & مرسي, د/ مي مصطفى حسن & رمضان, م/ آلاء محمد أحمد, 2017. "الاقتصاد الذكي …… مدخل لتحقيق تنمية زراعية مستدامة [Smart economy ... an entrance to achieve the sustainable agricultural development]," MPRA Paper 98192, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:98192
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Juma, Calestous, 2011. "The New Harvest: Agricultural Innovation in Africa," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199783199.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    الاقتصاد الذكي، التنمية المستدامة، أضرار انبعاثات غاز ثاني أكسيد الكربون، الرفاهية الشخصية البيئية.;

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development

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