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Bank loan loss provisioning during election years in Nigeria

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  • Ozili, Peterson K

Abstract

The paper investigates the behavior of loan loss provisions during election years in Nigeria. Election events create uncertainties in the business environment in Nigeria which can increase the credit risk that banks face. The findings reveal that the banking sector had high loan loss provisions when it is under-capitalised during election years. However, the election year did not have a significant effect on the level of loan loss provisions in the Nigerian banking sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozili, Peterson K, 2019. "Bank loan loss provisioning during election years in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 96704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:96704
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/96704/1/MPRA_paper_96704.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laeven, Luc & Majnoni, Giovanni, 2003. "Loan loss provisioning and economic slowdowns: too much, too late?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 178-197, April.
    2. Domenico Curcio & Iftekhar Hasan, 2015. "Earnings and capital management and signaling: the use of loan-loss provisions by European banks," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 26-50, January.
    3. Callen, Michael & Long, James D., 2015. "Institutional corruption and election fraud: evidence from a field experiment in Afghanistan," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102931, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Marcin Borsuk, 2019. "Forecasting the Net Interest Margin and Loan Loss Provision Ratio of Banks in Various Economic Scenarios: Evidence from Poland," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(1), pages 89-106, March.
    5. Peterson K. Ozili & Erick Outa, 2017. "Bank loan loss provisions research: A review," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(3), pages 144-163, September.
    6. Bikker, J.A. & Metzemakers, P.A.J., 2005. "Bank provisioning behaviour and procyclicality," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 141-157, April.
    7. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Alessi, Matteo & Di Colli, Stefano & Lopez, Juan Sergio, 2018. "Loan loss provisions and macroeconomic shocks: Some empirical evidence for italian banks during the crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 239-243.
    8. Michael Callen & James D. Long, 2015. "Institutional Corruption and Election Fraud: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Afghanistan," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(1), pages 354-381, January.
    9. Ozili, Peterson K & Outa, Erick R, 2018. "Bank Income Smoothing in South Africa: Role of Ownership, IFRS and Economic fluctuation," MPRA Paper 102567, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Zongrun Wang & Nan Xie & Yanbo Jin, 2019. "Do Loan Loss Provisions Affect the Credit Fluctuations in China’s Banking System?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(11), pages 2425-2436, September.
    11. Ahmed, Anwer S. & Takeda, Carolyn & Thomas, Shawn, 1999. "Bank loan loss provisions: a reexamination of capital management, earnings management and signaling effects," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-25, November.
    12. Ozili, Peterson K, 2017. "Bank Loan Loss Provisions Research: A Review," MPRA Paper 76495, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Dupas, Pascaline & Robinson, Jonathan, 2012. "The (hidden) costs of political instability: Evidence from Kenya's 2007 election crisis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 314-329.
    14. Ozili, Peterson K, 2020. "Bank loan loss provisioning during election years: cross-country evidence," MPRA Paper 96639, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Stergios Leventis & Panagiotis Dimitropoulos & Asokan Anandarajan, 2011. "Loan Loss Provisions, Earnings Management and Capital Management under IFRS: The Case of EU Commercial Banks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 40(1), pages 103-122, October.
    16. Morris, Richard D. & Kang, Helen & Jie, Jing, 2016. "The determinants and value relevance of banks' discretionary loan loss provisions during the financial crisis," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 176-190.
    17. Balla, Eliana & Rose, Morgan J., 2015. "Loan loss provisions, accounting constraints, and bank ownership structure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 92-117.
    18. Ozili, Peterson K, 2015. "Loan Loss Provisioning, Income Smoothing, Signaling, Capital Management and Procyclicality: Does IFRS Matter? Empirical Evidence from Nigeria," MPRA Paper 68350, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Ozili, Peterson K, 2017. "Bank Loan Loss Provisions, Investor Protection and the Macroeconomy," MPRA Paper 80147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Kanagaretnam, Kiridaran & Lobo, Gerald J. & Yang, Dong-Hoon, 2005. "Determinants of signaling by banks through loan loss provisions," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 58(3), pages 312-320, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ofori-Sasu, Daniel & Agbloyor, Elikplimi Komla & Nsafoah, Dennis & Asongu, Simplice A., 2024. "Banking behaviour and political business cycle in Africa: The role of independent regulatory policies of the central bank," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    2. Ozili, Peterson K, 2021. "Banking sector earnings management using loan loss provisions in the Fintech era," MPRA Paper 105083, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Ozili, Peterson Kitakogelu, 2021. "Bank earnings management using loan loss provisions: comparing the UK, France, South Africa and Egypt," MPRA Paper 108506, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ozili, Peterson K, 2022. "Determinants of bank income smoothing using loan loss provisions in the United Kingdom," MPRA Paper 112047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Albulena Shala & Valentin Toçi & Skender Ahmeti, 2020. "Income smoothing through loan loss provisions in south and Eastern European banks," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 38(2), pages 429-452.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    loan loss provisions; income smoothing; election; Nigeria; banks; financial reporting; credit risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics

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