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A Rational Economic Model of Paygo Tax Rates

Author

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  • Sheshinski, Eytan
  • Murtin, Fabrice
  • de Menil, Georges
  • T. Yokossi, Murtin

Abstract

We argue that paygo rates are determined by a representative agent and a benevolent government jointly maximizing the expected life-time utility of the agent. The distributions of labor and capital income are calculated from national data on real GDP, real wages and the real return to capital since 1950. With uniform risk aversion, predicted rates explain 83% of the variance of observed rates. The globalization of capital markets would lead to convergence of paygo rates. Our results are immune to crises like 2008.

Suggested Citation

  • Sheshinski, Eytan & Murtin, Fabrice & de Menil, Georges & T. Yokossi, Murtin, 2016. "A Rational Economic Model of Paygo Tax Rates," MPRA Paper 72034, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:72034
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    Cited by:

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    2. Toshiki Tamai, 2023. "Social security, economic growth, and social welfare in an overlapping generation model with idiosyncratic TFP shock and heterogeneous workers," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 36(3), pages 1829-1862, July.
    3. Jan Bonenkamp & Lex Meijdam & Eduard Ponds & Ed Westerhout, 2017. "Ageing-driven pension reforms," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 30(3), pages 953-976, July.
    4. Ishay Wolf & Lorena Caridad Lopez del Rio, 2021. "Benefit Adequacy in Funded Pension Systems: Micro-Simulation of the Israeli Pension Scheme," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 143-164.
    5. Romp, Ward & Beetsma, Roel, 2020. "Sustainability of pension systems with voluntary participation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 125-140.
    6. Erin Cottle Hunt & Frank N. Caliendo, 2022. "Social security and risk sharing: A survey of four decades of economic analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1591-1609, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Paygo; Savings; Risk Aversion; OLG; National Capital Markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H0 - Public Economics - - General

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