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Structural Economic Model for Ecuador: a Dollar-ized and Oil-ized Economy

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  • Elosegui, Pedro
  • Grosman, Nicolas

Abstract

The paper develops a Structural Model with the main macroeconomic features of the Ecuadorian economy. It models the main transmission channels of a small open and dollarized economy, highly dependent on oil production and foreign remittances. It is estimated by Bayesian methods for the period 2001-2010. The framework highlights the main risks affecting the macroeconomic performance, including the importance of international shocks. It also underscores the importance of the fiscal policies and the independent and significant role of the oil value added in the domestic economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Elosegui, Pedro & Grosman, Nicolas, 2014. "Structural Economic Model for Ecuador: a Dollar-ized and Oil-ized Economy," MPRA Paper 67686, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:67686
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Kahn, Charles M, 1980. "The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(5), pages 1305-1311, July.
    2. Betty Agnani & Amaia Iza, 2011. "Growth in an Oil Abundant Economy: The Case of Venezuela," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 61-79, May.
    3. Mr. Philippe D Karam & A. R. Pagan, 2008. "A Small Structural Monetary Policy Model for Small Open Economies with Debt Accumulation," IMF Working Papers 2008/064, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Cho, Seonghoon & Moreno, Antonio, 2006. "A Small-Sample Study of the New-Keynesian Macro Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(6), pages 1461-1481, September.
    5. Klein, Paul, 2000. "Using the generalized Schur form to solve a multivariate linear rational expectations model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1405-1423, September.
    6. Jordi Gali & Tommaso Monacelli, 1999. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 438, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 15 Nov 1999.
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    Cited by:

    1. Roger Alejandro Banegas Rivero & Marco Alberto Nunez Ramirez & Yesenia Clark Mendivil, 2020. "Landlocked Countries, Institutions and Economic Dynamics," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(2), pages 160-188, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New Keynesian model; Bayesian methods; Oil Value Added; Fiscal policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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