IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/65628.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Pengaruh Pariwisata Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia
[Tourism Effect On Economic Growth In Indonesia]

Author

Listed:
  • Nizar, Muhammad Afdi

Abstract

This study aims to determine the impact of tourism to economic growth in Indonesia during 1995 – 2000. Based on quarterly time series data and using VAR model, the study tries to analyze patterns of causal relationship between the growth of tourism (tourism receipts) and economic growth. The results showed several conclusions : (i) the growth of tourism and economic growth have reciprocal causal relationship. However, the impact of tourism (receipts) growth increase will accelerate the economic growth with time lag 5 – 6 quarters, while the increase of GDP growth will boost the increase of tourism growth on the next quarter. This study also found that the tourism promotion policy would affected the tourism growth on the next 1 – 3 following quarters. In Indonesia, bomb terrors will adversely impact on the growth of tourism of the first two following quarters.

Suggested Citation

  • Nizar, Muhammad Afdi, 2011. "Pengaruh Pariwisata Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia [Tourism Effect On Economic Growth In Indonesia]," MPRA Paper 65628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65628
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65628/1/MPRA_paper_65628.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Álvaro Matias & Peter Nijkamp & Manuela Sarmento (ed.), 2009. "Advances in Tourism Economics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-7908-2124-6, June.
    2. Isabel Cortes-Jimenez & Manuela Pulina, 2006. "Tourism and Growth: Evidence for Spain and Italy," ERSA conference papers ersa06p128, European Regional Science Association.
    3. Jacint Balaguer & Manuel Cantavella-Jorda, 2002. "Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(7), pages 877-884.
    4. Paolo Figini & Laura Vici, 2010. "Tourism and Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(4), pages 789-805, December.
    5. Larry Dwyer & Peter Forsyth (ed.), 2006. "International Handbook on the Economics of Tourism," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2827.
    6. JG. Brida & M. Pulina, 2010. "A literature review on the tourism-led-growth hypothesis," Working Paper CRENoS 201017, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    7. Akal, Mustafa, 2009. "Economic Implications of International Tourism on Turkish Economy," MPRA Paper 25197, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jun 2009.
    8. Schubert, Stefan Franz & Brida, Juan Gabriel & Risso, Wiston Adrián, 2011. "The impacts of international tourism demand on economic growth of small economies dependent on tourism," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 377-385.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nizar, Muhammad Afdi, 2013. "Pengaruh Pariwisata Terhadap Perdagangan Internasional Di Indonesia [effect of tourism on international trade in Indonesia]," MPRA Paper 65631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nizar, Muhammad Afdi, 2012. "Pengaruh Jumlah Turis Dan Devisa Pariwisata Terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah [The Effect Of Tourism On Rupiah Exchange Rates]," MPRA Paper 65629, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Nasihin Aziz, Athoillah, 2019. "Economic development through halal tourism," MPRA Paper 94834, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. David Alaminos & Ana León-Gómez & José Ramón Sánchez-Serrano, 2020. "A DSGE-VAR Analysis for Tourism Development and Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-22, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ceyhun Can OZCAN & Murat ASLAN & Saban NAZLIOGLU, 2017. "Economic freedom, economic growth and international tourism for post-communist (transition) countries: A panel causality analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 75-98, Summer.
    2. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2013. "Time-Varying Interdependencies of Tourism and Economic Growth: Evidence from European Countries," MPRA Paper 48715, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Raffaele Paci & Emanuela Marrocu, 2014. "Tourism and regional growth in Europe," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93, pages 25-50, November.
    4. Tang, Chor Foon, 2011. "Tourism, real output and real effective exchange rate in Malaysia: a view from rolling sub-samples," MPRA Paper 29379, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Francis Baidoo & Lei Pan & Vera Ogeh Lassey Fiador & Elikplimi Komla Agbloyor, 2024. "Importing to feed international tourists: Growth implications for islands across the globe," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(7), pages 1651-1679, November.
    6. Stauvermann, Peter Josef & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh, 2017. "Productivity growth and income in the tourism sector: Role of tourism demand and human capital investment," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 426-433.
    7. Chor Foon Tang & Salah Abosedra, 2016. "Tourism and growth in Lebanon: new evidence from bootstrap simulation and rolling causality approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 679-696, March.
    8. Lingaraj MALLICK & Ummalla MALLESH & Jaganath BEHERA, 2016. "Does tourism affect economic growth in Indian states? Evidence from panel ARDL model," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 183-194, Spring.
    9. Albaladejo, Isabel P. & González-Martínez, María Isabel & Martínez-García, María Pilar, 2014. "Quality and endogenous tourism: An empirical approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 141-147.
    10. Baidoo, Francis & Pan, Lei & Fiador, Vera Ogeh Lassey & Agbloyor, Elikplimi Komla, 2022. "Importing to Feed International Tourists: Growth Implications for Islands across the Globe," MPRA Paper 111964, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2015. "How strong is the linkage between tourism and economic growth in Europe?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 142-155.
    12. Haroon Rasool & Shafat Maqbool & Md. Tarique, 2021. "The relationship between tourism and economic growth among BRICS countries: a panel cointegration analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
    13. Chia-Lin Chang & Thanchanok Khamkaew & Michael McAleer, 2012. "IV Estimation of a Panel Threshold Model of Tourism Specialization and Economic Development," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 5-41, February.
    14. Dutta, Nabamita & Kar, Saibal, 2018. "Relating rule of law and budgetary allocation for tourism: Does per capita income growth make a difference for Indian states?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 263-271.
    15. Adriana Csikosova & Katarina Culkova & Erik Weiss & Maria Janoskova, 2021. "Evaluation of Market with Accommodation Facilities Considering Risk Influence—Case Study Slovakia," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-17, May.
    16. Chu, Angus C. & Liao, Chih-Hsing & Xu, Rongxin & Chen, Ping-Ho, 2024. "Dynamic effects of tourism shocks on innovation in an open-economy Schumpeterian growth model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    17. Juan Gabriel Brida & Silvia London & Mara Rojas, 2013. "A Dynamic Model of Tourism and Economic Growth: the Role of Physical and Human Capital," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1361-1373.
    18. Marrocu, Emanuela & Paci, Raffaele & Zara, Andrea, 2015. "Micro-economic determinants of tourist expenditure: A quantile regression approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 13-30.
    19. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2017. "Spatial Agglomeration And Economic Development With The Inclusion Of Interregional Tourism," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 62(213), pages 93-128, April - J.
    20. David Perrain & Philippe Jean-Pierre, 2019. "The smart destination strategy, a key factor for changes in vulnerable tourist destinations? [La stratégie de destination intelligente, facteur clé des mutations des destinations touristiques vulné," Post-Print hal-02144769, HAL.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    conomic growth; economic-driven tourism growth hypothesis; tourism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65628. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.