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Pengaruh Pariwisata Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia
[Tourism Effect On Economic Growth In Indonesia]

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  • Nizar, Muhammad Afdi

Abstract

This study aims to determine the impact of tourism to economic growth in Indonesia during 1995 – 2000. Based on quarterly time series data and using VAR model, the study tries to analyze patterns of causal relationship between the growth of tourism (tourism receipts) and economic growth. The results showed several conclusions : (i) the growth of tourism and economic growth have reciprocal causal relationship. However, the impact of tourism (receipts) growth increase will accelerate the economic growth with time lag 5 – 6 quarters, while the increase of GDP growth will boost the increase of tourism growth on the next quarter. This study also found that the tourism promotion policy would affected the tourism growth on the next 1 – 3 following quarters. In Indonesia, bomb terrors will adversely impact on the growth of tourism of the first two following quarters.

Suggested Citation

  • Nizar, Muhammad Afdi, 2011. "Pengaruh Pariwisata Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia [Tourism Effect On Economic Growth In Indonesia]," MPRA Paper 65628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65628
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65628/1/MPRA_paper_65628.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Álvaro Matias & Peter Nijkamp & Manuela Sarmento (ed.), 2009. "Advances in Tourism Economics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-7908-2124-6, March.
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    3. Larry Dwyer & Peter Forsyth (ed.), 2006. "International Handbook on the Economics of Tourism," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2827, March.
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    5. Schubert, Stefan Franz & Brida, Juan Gabriel & Risso, Wiston Adrián, 2011. "The impacts of international tourism demand on economic growth of small economies dependent on tourism," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 377-385.
    6. Paolo Figini & Laura Vici, 2010. "Tourism and Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(4), pages 789-805, December.
    7. JG. Brida & M. Pulina, 2010. "A literature review on the tourism-led-growth hypothesis," Working Paper CRENoS 201017, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    8. Akal, Mustafa, 2009. "Economic Implications of International Tourism on Turkish Economy," MPRA Paper 25197, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jun 2009.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nizar, Muhammad Afdi, 2013. "Pengaruh Pariwisata Terhadap Perdagangan Internasional Di Indonesia [effect of tourism on international trade in Indonesia]," MPRA Paper 65631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nizar, Muhammad Afdi, 2012. "Pengaruh Jumlah Turis Dan Devisa Pariwisata Terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah [The Effect Of Tourism On Rupiah Exchange Rates]," MPRA Paper 65629, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Nasihin Aziz, Athoillah, 2019. "Economic development through halal tourism," MPRA Paper 94834, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. David Alaminos & Ana León-Gómez & José Ramón Sánchez-Serrano, 2020. "A DSGE-VAR Analysis for Tourism Development and Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-22, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    conomic growth; economic-driven tourism growth hypothesis; tourism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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