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Understanding crude oil import demand behaviour in Ghana

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  • Marbuah, George

Abstract

Crude oil importation is a major drain on the economy of Ghana, yet no study has attempted to analyse the determinants of crude oil imports. This paper brings to the fore an understanding of the key drivers of crude oil import demand. Using the autoregressive distributed lag modelling framework (ARDL), we estimate variant short-run and long-run import demand models for crude oil using time series data over the period 1980-2012. The results show that demand for crude oil is price inelastic in both the long and short term. Other important drivers of crude oil import are the real effective exchange rate, domestic crude oil production and population growth. Furthermore, real economic activity is found to be the most robust and dominant driver of crude oil demand with mixed estimates of inelastic and elastic coefficients in the short-run and long-run, respectively. Policy implications of our results are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Marbuah, George, 2014. "Understanding crude oil import demand behaviour in Ghana," MPRA Paper 60436, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:60436
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Eric Fosu Oteng-Abayie & Prosper Awuni Ayinbilla & Maame Esi Eshun, 2018. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Crude Oil Demand in Ghana," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(4), pages 873-888, August.
    2. Khalil Jebran & Abdullah & Mahmoud Moustafa Elhabbaq & Arshad Ali, 2017. "Income and Price Elasticities of Crude Oil Demand in Pakistan," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(6), pages 1373-1383, December.
    3. Aarti Mehta Sharma & Saina Baby & Varsha Raghu, 2024. "Forecasting High Speed Diesel Demand in India with Econometric and Machine Learning Methods," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 496-506, January.
    4. Rajesh Sharma & Pradeep Kautish & D. Suresh Kumar, 2021. "Assessing Dynamism of Crude Oil Demand in Middle-Income Countries of South Asia: A Panel Data Investigation," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(1), pages 169-183, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude oil demand; import; determinants; cointegration; Ghana;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy

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