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The Role of Gold as a Hedge and Safe Haven in Shariah-Compliant Portfolios

Author

Listed:
  • Nagayev, Ruslan
  • Masih, Mansur

Abstract

The paper is the first attempt to evaluate the role of gold as a hedge (negative or low correlation with equities in normal market conditions) and safe haven (negative or low correlation in times of market turbulence) by using the daily data for gold and Shariah-compliant equities ranging from January 1996 to April 2013, and comparing between developed and emerging markets in time-frequency domain. Wavelet Coherence technique is applied to identify the best time-frequency for gold as a hedge, and MGARCH-DCC to find out the reaction of gold to unfavorable market conditions as a safe haven. The results tend to indicate that gold maintains its capacity as hedging instrument at higher time-scales, while during the financial crisis it demonstrated a weak form of safe haven by showing almost zero correlation with the Shariah-compliant equities.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagayev, Ruslan & Masih, Mansur, 2013. "The Role of Gold as a Hedge and Safe Haven in Shariah-Compliant Portfolios," MPRA Paper 58852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:58852
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "How COVID-19 upturns the hedging potentials of gold against oil and stock markets risks: Nonlinear evidences through threshold regression and markov-regime switching models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    2. Raza, Naveed & Ibrahimy, Ahmad & Ali, Azwadi, 2015. "Gold and Islamic Stocks: A Hedge and Safe Haven Comparison in Time - Grequency domain for BRICS," MPRA Paper 69366, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Chkili, Walid, 2017. "Is gold a hedge or safe haven for Islamic stock market movements? A Markov switching approach," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 42, pages 152-163.
    4. Naveed Raza & Ahmad Ibn Ibrahimy & Azwadi Ali & Sajid Ali, 2016. "Gold and Islamic stocks: A hedge and safe haven comparison in time frequency domain for BRICS markets," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(6), pages 305-318, Special I.
    5. Aktham Maghyereh & Basel Awartani & Abul Hassan, 2018. "Can gold be used as a hedge against the risks of Sharia-compliant securities? Application for Islamic portfolio management," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(6), pages 394-412, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gold; shariah-compliant equities; wavelet coherence; MGARCH-DCC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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