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Anmerkungen zur Herleitung eines schadensgewichteten Index der Kriminalitätsentwicklung
[On the construction of a severity-based index of crime]

Author

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  • Entorf, Horst

Abstract

Zusammenfassung: Der Aufsatz beinhaltet Überlegungen zur Konstruktion eines neuen Schwereindex der Kriminalität. Das vorgestellte theoretische Konzept basiert auf dem Laspeyres-Mengenindex, bei dem die Zahl der Delikte durch die gesellschaftlichen Schäden bzw. Kosten je Straftat gewichtet werden. In den Ausführungen werden die Datenerfordernisse thematisiert, wobei besonders auf die Messung der Kosten der Kriminalität und auf die Frage des Dunkelfelds eingegangen wird. Exemplarische Berechnungen für die Entwicklung des Schwereindex zwischen 1993 und 2011 zeigen, dass eine Interpretation von Kriminalitätsentwicklungen extrem irreführend sein kann, wenn man allein auf die Gesamtzahl der Fälle, nicht aber auf die Schwere der Delikte und das Ausmaß des Dunkelfelds abstellt. Summary: The paper considers a newly constructed severity index of crime. The theoretical foundation is based on the Laspeyres quantity index, where the amount of crimes is weighted by their societal costs. The paper presents requirements which need to be met in order to apply the concept to the real world. In particular, measurement issues concerning the estimated costs of crime and the share of unreported crimes are discussed. Sensitivity analyses and preliminary estimates of the severity index of crime based on a subgroup of crime categories reveal that any interpretation of crime trends can be strongly misleading if it would be based on reported aggregate crime rates, and not on cost weighted and dark field adjusted numbers of crimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Entorf, Horst, 2014. "Anmerkungen zur Herleitung eines schadensgewichteten Index der Kriminalitätsentwicklung [On the construction of a severity-based index of crime]," MPRA Paper 56626, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:56626
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Entorf, Horst, 2013. "Der Wert der Sicherheit: Anmerkungen zur Ökonomie der Sicherheit [The value of safety: Some remarks on the economics of safety]," MPRA Paper 49690, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Spengler, Hannes, 2004. "Ursachen und Kosten der Kriminalität in Deutschland : drei empirische Untersuchungen," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 22827, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    3. Horst Entorf & Hannes Spengler, 2005. "Ökonometrie der Kriminalität," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(16), pages 13-25, August.
    4. Entorf, Horst & Spengler, Hannes, 2002. "Crime in Europe : causes and consequences," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 24090, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    severity index of crime; costs of crime; crime in Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty
    • K30 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - General
    • K4 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior

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